VGK beat LAK 4–3. VGK lost the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 4.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Chandler Stephenson scored on the power play at 1:38 of the third, moving VGK’s win probability from 53% to 78%. Cal Petersen allowed 1.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:36 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Alex Iafallo, Mikey Anderson | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 5:57 | VGK | Reilly Smith from Jonathan Marchessault, Shea Theodore | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 7:06 | LAK | Adrian Kempe from Gabriel Vilardi, Kale Clague | 2–1 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 7:32 | VGK | Zach Whitecloud from Cody Glass, Alex Tuch | 2–2 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 11:37 | VGK | Chandler Stephenson from Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty | 2–3 | 53% → 70% |
| P2 8:53 | LAK | Jaret Anderson-Dolan from Trevor Moore, Austin Wagner | 3–3 | 27% → 47% |
| P3 1:38 | VGK | Chandler StephensonPP from Alex Tuch, Alec Martinez | 3–4 | 53% → 78% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anze Kopitar C | 18:33 | 1 | +1.10 | +0.07 | +0.74 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.07 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 14:41 | 1 | +0.64 | +0.44 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.07 | |
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 11:30 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.10 | +0.68 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Kale Clague D | 20:55 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.47 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Amadio R | 17:06 | +0.33 | +0.41 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 16:19 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.05 | +0.27 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Kurtis MacDermid L | 14:28 | +0.06 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 27:22 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Strand D | 14:15 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 13:56 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Olli Maatta D | 15:57 | −0.08 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Wagner L | 13:03 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Lias Andersson C | 11:21 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 18:14 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Dustin Brown R | 17:43 | −0.23 | +0.08 | −0.31 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 13:42 | −0.32 | +0.37 | −0.50 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 18:51 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.14 | −0.45 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jeff Carter C | 19:57 | −0.82 | +0.39 | −1.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Petersen G | 58:28 | −1.54 |
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Stephenson C | 15:47 | 2 | +1.64 | +0.08 | +1.62 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 21:51 | 1 | +0.87 | −0.01 | +0.88 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Reilly Smith R | 17:10 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.09 | +0.68 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Tuch R | 14:41 | 2 | +0.04 | +0.16 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Coghlan D | 13:44 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Glass C | 13:07 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.06 | |
| Nicolas Hague D | 19:18 | −0.02 | +0.20 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| William Carrier L | 8:31 | −0.07 | +0.14 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Stone R | 16:52 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.15 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Reaves R | 11:18 | −0.20 | +0.16 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 25:19 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.09 | −0.20 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 17:15 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Nick Holden D | 15:25 | −0.30 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 17:47 | −0.35 | −0.22 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Max Pacioretty L | 15:10 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.10 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Roy C | 15:32 | −0.48 | −0.47 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 14:20 | −0.55 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.03 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 21:07 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.57 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Lehner G | 60:00 | +1.06 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.