PHI beat WSH 7–4. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 3.3 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Sean Couturier scored at 0:31 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 48% to 73%. Vitek Vanecek allowed 3.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:11 | WSH | Alex OvechkinPP from Tom Wilson, Lars Eller | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P1 16:36 | WSH | Tom Wilson from Nicklas Backstrom, Alex Ovechkin | 0–2 | 71% → 85% |
| P1 18:33 |  PHI | Scott Laughton from Erik Gustafsson, Joel Farabee | 1–2 | 15% → 29% |
| P2 2:29 | PHI | Scott Laughton from Joel Farabee, James van Riemsdyk | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 4:08 | WSH | Alex Ovechkin from Nicklas Backstrom, Tom Wilson | 2–3 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 7:50 | PHI | Robert Hagg from Nicolas Aube-Kubel, Sean Couturier | 3–3 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 16:36 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk from Philippe Myers | 4–3 | 47% → 71% |
| P2 19:03 | WSH | Nicklas Backstrom from Alex Ovechkin, Tom Wilson | 4–4 | 28% → 52% |
| P3 0:31 | PHI | Sean Couturier from Michael Raffl, Justin Braun | 5–4 | 48% → 73% |
| P3 17:51 | PHI | Scott Laughton from Joel Farabee, Michael Raffl | 6–4 | 92% → 100% |
| P3 18:38 | PHI | Sean CouturierEN from Ivan Provorov, Jakub Voracek | 7–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Laughton C | 15:18 | 3 | +2.28 | +0.08 | +2.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 15:54 | 2 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.02 | +0.82 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 18:26 | 1 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.02 | +0.82 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Robert Hagg D | 12:57 | 1 | +0.68 | −0.07 | +0.75 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Braun D | 17:33 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Raffl L | 13:40 | 2 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 16:05 | 3 | −0.03 | +0.09 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 11:24 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 19:27 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 20:24 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 16:23 | −0.12 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 16:02 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nolan Patrick C | 13:07 | −0.13 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 24:13 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Hayes R | 15:41 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 13:41 | −0.16 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Voracek R | 18:05 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Philippe Myers D | 21:17 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 60:00 | −0.88 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin L | 20:02 | 2 | 2 | +1.56 | +0.04 | +1.49 | +0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Tom Wilson R | 21:02 | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.56 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Nicklas Backstrom C | 21:17 | 1 | 2 | +0.56 | +0.06 | +0.49 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.05 |
| Zdeno Chara D | 19:19 | +0.12 | +0.17 | −0.08 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 21:13 | +0.11 | +0.08 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Sprong R | 9:52 | +0.09 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nick Jensen D | 17:19 | +0.08 | +0.15 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Sheary L | 10:32 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 16:58 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Hagelin L | 16:49 | −0.07 | +0.14 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Philippe Maillet C | 8:02 | −0.07 | +0.08 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 23:53 | −0.09 | +0.07 | −0.20 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 14:56 | −0.10 | +0.06 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Daniel Carr L | 9:56 | −0.12 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 20:14 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 17:11 | −0.30 | +0.06 | −0.19 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.03 | ||
| Richard Panik R | 9:30 | −0.36 | −0.10 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Lars Eller C | 14:34 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.06 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Craig Anderson G | 22:45 | −1.13 |
| Vitek Vanecek G | 36:36 | −3.09 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.