BOS beat PHI 4–3 in overtime. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron scored on the power play at 0:31 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 50% to 100%. Tuukka Rask allowed 1.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:12 | BOS | David Pastrnak from Charlie McAvoy, Patrice Bergeron | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P2 15:29 | PHI | Kevin Hayes from Travis Sanheim, Philippe Myers | 1–1 | 30% → 53% |
| P3 1:03 | PHI | Jakub Voracek from Travis Sanheim, James van Riemsdyk | 1–2 | 52% → 78% |
| P3 8:41 | PHI | Joel Farabee from Scott Laughton, James van Riemsdyk | 1–3 | 82% → 96% |
| P3 12:05 | BOS | David PastrnakPP from Patrice Bergeron, Nick Ritchie | 2–3 | 3% → 15% |
| P3 19:45 | BOS | David PastrnakPP from Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron | 3–3 | 3% → 49% |
| OT 0:31 | BOS | Patrice BergeronPP from David Pastrnak, David Krejci | 4–3 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak R | 21:31 | 3 | 1 | +2.19 | +0.18 | +1.94 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Patrice Bergeron C | 19:52 | 1 | 3 | +0.56 | +0.09 | +0.49 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Kevan Miller D | 18:06 | +0.27 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 22:30 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.15 | −0.17 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 13:34 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jakub Zboril D | 14:46 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 11:38 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Bjork L | 11:18 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Wagner R | 13:50 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| David Krejci C | 16:36 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.12 | −0.25 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 23:13 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.22 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Craig Smith C | 13:44 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Clifton D | 20:14 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 13:18 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.46 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 20:21 | −0.31 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 18:35 | −0.33 | −0.22 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Blidh L | 9:40 | −0.38 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Ritchie L | 16:10 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.04 | −0.34 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Rask G | 59:39 | −1.35 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Voracek R | 15:48 | 1 | +1.17 | +0.16 | +0.78 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 15:15 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.11 | +0.81 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Kevin Hayes R | 17:44 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.17 | +0.75 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.04 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 19:48 | 2 | +0.16 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Raffl L | 11:49 | +0.15 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Philippe Myers D | 21:16 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.17 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 16:08 | +0.06 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 16:50 | −0.03 | +0.08 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Nolan Patrick C | 14:27 | −0.04 | +0.12 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 15:17 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 15:40 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:11 | −0.15 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 16:25 | −0.16 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 16:51 | 2 | −0.16 | +0.17 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.02 | |
| Connor Bunnaman C | 10:49 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 20:19 | −0.19 | −0.10 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 11:11 | −0.25 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 15:55 | −0.49 | −0.07 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 60:31 | −0.60 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.