DAL beat DET 2–1 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (DET 1.9, DAL 1.8), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Jason Dickinson scored at 1:32 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:37 |  DET | Vladislav Namestnikov from Taro Hirose, Givani Smith | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 5:27 | DAL | John KlingbergPP from Denis Gurianov, Joe Pavelski | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| OT 1:32 | DAL | Jason Dickinson from John Klingberg, Denis Gurianov | 1–2 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 18:36 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.28 | +0.64 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Christian Djoos D | 12:53 | +0.14 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 25:09 | +0.11 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathias Brome L | 14:30 | +0.08 | +0.19 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 19:37 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Taro Hirose L | 9:40 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.10 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 18:30 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danny DeKeyser D | 13:59 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Staal D | 20:14 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frans Nielsen C | 14:54 | −0.11 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Givani Smith R | 7:05 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Valtteri Filppula C | 18:07 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Nemeth D | 22:04 | −0.13 | +0.03 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Ryan R | 18:00 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.16 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Troy Stecher D | 23:06 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 17:37 | −0.31 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.02 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 17:04 | −0.41 | +0.02 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.05 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 7:57 | −0.46 | +0.08 | −0.54 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Greiss G | 61:23 | +0.05 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Klingberg D | 22:55 | 1 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.02 | +0.81 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jason Dickinson C | 16:21 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.10 | +0.84 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 24:32 | +0.31 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrej Sekera D | 17:15 | +0.14 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 17:21 | 2 | +0.11 | +0.07 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Pysyk D | 8:33 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 11:28 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Cogliano C | 13:41 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alexander Radulov R | 18:34 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Justin Dowling C | 15:09 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Nick Caamano R | 8:47 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Kero C | 15:41 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 17:10 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 19:26 | −0.29 | −0.18 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 20:20 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.00 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.02 | |
| Rhett Gardner C | 8:18 | −0.35 | +0.10 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 23:11 | −0.38 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 20:02 | −0.65 | −0.24 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 61:32 | +0.82 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.