MIN beat LAK 4–3 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Marcus Johansson scored at 4:49 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:21 |  MIN | Mathew Dumba from Jordan Greenway, Ryan Suter | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 16:58 | LAK | Gabriel Vilardi from Austin Wagner, Kurtis MacDermid | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 7:02 | LAK | Blake Lizotte from Drew Doughty, Jeff Carter | 1–2 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 10:22 | LAK | Andreas Athanasiou from Jeff Carter | 1–3 | 74% → 88% |
| P3 7:38 | MIN | Joel Eriksson Ek from Jordan Greenway, Greg Pateryn | 2–3 | 5% → 19% |
| P3 19:58 | MIN | Mathew DumbaPP from Ryan Suter | 3–3 | 2% → 48% |
| OT 4:49 | MIN | Marcus Johansson from Kirill Kaprizov, Jonas Brodin | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathew Dumba D | 24:05 | 2 | +1.53 | +0.11 | +1.41 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 18:59 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.07 | +0.39 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Marcus Johansson L | 18:54 | 1 | +0.53 | +0.18 | +0.51 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.02 | |
| Nick Bonino C | 17:36 | +0.42 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.36 | +0.01 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 27:03 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Carson Soucy D | 13:00 | +0.15 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Sturm C | 6:59 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Marcus Foligno L | 16:48 | −0.00 | +0.08 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 24:07 | 2 | −0.00 | +0.28 | −0.32 | −0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Greg Pateryn D | 12:43 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Greenway L | 18:08 | 2 | −0.04 | +0.21 | −0.27 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Victor Rask C | 11:07 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 19:05 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.06 | −0.26 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jared Spurgeon D | 23:51 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Parise L | 15:50 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.04 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 8:06 | −0.31 | −0.04 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nick Bjugstad C | 10:12 | −0.48 | +0.04 | −0.36 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.03 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:07 | −0.48 | +0.33 | −0.45 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.36 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 62:36 | −0.62 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Lizotte C | 12:39 | 1 | +0.96 | −0.02 | +0.59 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.36 | +0.04 | |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 13:51 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.12 | +0.69 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 15:38 | 1 | +0.45 | −0.06 | +0.71 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.03 | |
| Olli Maatta D | 18:16 | +0.15 | +0.27 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Wagner L | 10:31 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Luff R | 8:50 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 26:26 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 11:39 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 22:40 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 20:03 | −0.09 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 11:53 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Dustin Brown R | 15:56 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kurtis MacDermid L | 13:14 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 23:26 | −0.36 | −0.31 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 15:54 | −0.39 | +0.04 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 24:53 | −0.58 | −0.36 | −0.24 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 16:41 | 2 | −0.64 | −0.18 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.04 | |
| Sean Walker D | 20:28 | −1.04 | −0.81 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 64:46 | +0.07 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.