STL beat CHI 2–0. STL lost the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 2.9 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Robert Bortuzzo scored at 6:41 of the second, moving STL’s win probability from 47% to 67%. Jake Allen saved 3.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | STL–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 6:41 | STL | Robert Bortuzzo from Brayden Schenn, Jaden Schwartz | 1–0 | 47% → 67% |
| P3 5:37 | STL | Alex Pietrangelo from Jaden Schwartz, Sammy Blais | 2–0 | 76% → 93% |
Every player
Show both lineups
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bortuzzo D | 13:15 | 1 | +1.32 | +0.15 | +0.83 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.35 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 24:55 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.16 | +0.72 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Gunnarsson D | 17:37 | +0.13 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 19:58 | +0.11 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Alexander Steen L | 16:03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bozak C | 14:37 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 15:23 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.18 | −0.02 | |
| David Perron L | 14:25 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 13:41 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Thomas C | 13:02 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Marco Scandella D | 24:33 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mackenzie MacEachern L | 10:36 | −0.24 | −0.08 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sammy Blais L | 13:07 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.08 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Parayko D | 23:15 | −0.25 | −0.18 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 16:11 | 2 | −0.30 | −0.06 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 14:06 | −0.49 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.35 | −0.02 | ||
| Zachary Sanford L | 14:13 | −0.52 | +0.02 | −0.54 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 13:03 | −0.53 | +0.06 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.35 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 60:00 | +3.21 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Boqvist D | 10:56 | +0.41 | +0.06 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.53 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 11:54 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Slater Koekkoek D | 16:59 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Carpenter C | 8:43 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 23:49 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.06 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 20:56 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drake Caggiula L | 4:39 | −0.00 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 30:21 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 9:46 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matthew Highmore C | 9:57 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 20:13 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 19:49 | −0.27 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Nylander L | 12:00 | −0.31 | −0.06 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 19:01 | −0.34 | −0.05 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 20:10 | −0.34 | +0.06 | −0.39 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 18:54 | −0.43 | +0.00 | −0.44 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirby Dach C | 14:55 | −0.43 | +0.04 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.35 | −0.01 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 26:21 | −0.68 | −0.13 | −0.74 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Crawford G | 56:24 | +0.31 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.