STL beat DAL 4–3 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (DAL 3.0, STL 3.2), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: John Klingberg scored on the power play at 19:41 of the third, moving DAL’s win probability from 3% to 49%. Jake Allen saved 1.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:30 | DAL | Tyler Seguin from John Klingberg | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 12:56 |  STL | David Perron from Vince Dunn | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 4:19 | STL | Tyler BozakPP from Vince Dunn, Robert Thomas | 1–2 | 54% → 72% |
| P2 13:06 | STL | Brayden Schenn from Ryan O'Reilly, Alex Pietrangelo | 1–3 | 75% → 89% |
| P2 15:06 | DAL | Denis Gurianov unassisted | 2–3 | 10% → 25% |
| P3 19:41 | DAL | John KlingbergPP from Jamie Benn, Corey Perry | 3–3 | 3% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Klingberg D | 22:16 | 1 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.10 | +0.78 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Denis Gurianov R | 13:20 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.15 | +0.51 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 18:24 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.41 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.32 | |
| Andrej Sekera D | 17:45 | +0.02 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 17:06 | +0.01 | +0.13 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Roman Polak D | 17:22 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 14:18 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.11 | −0.24 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 19:28 | −0.10 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 15:49 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Andrew Cogliano C | 11:56 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 24:17 | −0.23 | −0.07 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Comeau L | 14:14 | −0.25 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 23:36 | −0.27 | −0.25 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 16:06 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.08 | −0.47 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Mattias Janmark C | 16:39 | −0.39 | −0.29 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 15:01 | −0.51 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.38 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 16:42 | −0.52 | +0.03 | −0.36 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Alexander Radulov R | 15:52 | −0.91 | −0.10 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.48 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 64:04 | −0.66 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 20:53 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.15 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.79 | |
| Brayden Schenn C | 20:31 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.11 | +0.66 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | |
| David Perron L | 18:57 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.09 | +0.71 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | |
| Tyler Bozak C | 16:33 | 1 | +0.41 | +0.04 | +0.47 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | −0.16 | |
| Robert Thomas C | 17:32 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.04 | −0.00 | |
| Alexander Steen L | 13:46 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 24:20 | +0.13 | +0.18 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 17:34 | 2 | +0.05 | +0.07 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marco Scandella D | 18:13 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sammy Blais L | 11:30 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jacob de la Rose L | 12:40 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 13:00 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 12:28 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 25:19 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.04 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zachary Sanford L | 14:43 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 20:45 | −0.23 | +0.20 | −0.42 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Carl Gunnarsson D | 17:22 | −0.28 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Faulk D | 18:54 | −0.29 | +0.02 | −0.31 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 65:00 | +1.18 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.