BOS beat EDM 2–1 in overtime. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: David Pastrnak scored at 1:14 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Mike Smith saved 2.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–EDM | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:28 | BOS | Patrice Bergeron from Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P3 3:42 | EDM | Sam GagnerPP from Ethan Bear, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 1–1 | 26% → 53% |
| OT 1:14 | BOS | David Pastrnak from David Krejci, Torey Krug | 2–1 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak R | 18:17 | 1 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.49 | +0.06 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Patrice Bergeron C | 19:21 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.21 | +0.38 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.18 | −0.06 | |
| David Krejci C | 21:11 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.33 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 20:27 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.22 | −0.30 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.35 | +0.00 | |
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 14:33 | +0.19 | +0.20 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 23:04 | +0.19 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 16:39 | +0.16 | +0.27 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zdeno Chara D | 22:09 | −0.06 | +0.09 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 18:07 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Bjork L | 9:35 | −0.09 | +0.10 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 12:58 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 18:27 | −0.15 | +0.15 | −0.33 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 10:18 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 17:35 | −0.17 | +0.11 | −0.62 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.35 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 18:36 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.16 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Wagner R | 10:17 | −0.23 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Karson Kuhlman C | 10:52 | −0.32 | +0.05 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Joakim Nordstrom C | 9:33 | −0.47 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.35 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Rask G | 61:14 | +1.50 |
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaetan Haas C | 7:59 | +0.39 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.35 | +0.03 | ||
| Sam Gagner C | 12:12 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.02 | +0.40 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Caleb Jones D | 16:09 | +0.28 | +0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| William Lagesson D | 12:26 | +0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Benson L | 10:15 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colby Cave C | 4:23 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Russell R | 3:31 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 10:03 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Benning D | 10:28 | −0.15 | +0.07 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Archibald R | 16:04 | −0.25 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethan Bear D | 20:14 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.26 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Larsson D | 23:50 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Riley Sheahan C | 15:55 | −0.29 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Chiasson R | 18:01 | −0.31 | −0.16 | −0.30 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 21:07 | −0.40 | −0.13 | −0.24 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Leon Draisaitl C | 29:22 | −0.73 | −0.34 | −0.54 | +0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 28:05 | 1 | −0.78 | −0.25 | −0.42 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.02 | |
| Darnell Nurse D | 29:58 | −0.93 | −0.67 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Smith G | 60:56 | +2.03 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.