DAL beat STL 3–2 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Roope Hintz scored at 2:19 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:18 | STL | Colton ParaykoPP from Vince Dunn, Robert Thomas | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P1 10:49 | STL | Colton Parayko from David Perron | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P1 17:48 |  DAL | Jamie BennPP from Mattias Janmark, Joe Pavelski | 1–2 | 15% → 29% |
| P2 13:25 | DAL | Roope Hintz unassisted | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| OT 2:19 | DAL | Roope Hintz from Miro Heiskanen, Anton Khudobin | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roope Hintz C | 16:34 | 2 | +1.24 | +0.06 | +1.30 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Blake Comeau L | 16:59 | +0.13 | +0.06 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Mattias Janmark C | 18:01 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 22:47 | +0.05 | +0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 20:33 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.06 | −0.14 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Roman Polak D | 16:28 | +0.02 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Cogliano C | 12:08 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Stephen Johns D | 17:14 | −0.03 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 12:30 | −0.04 | +0.15 | −0.04 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 15:11 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.13 | +0.30 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.35 | −0.03 | |
| John Klingberg D | 24:32 | −0.05 | +0.10 | −0.04 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 14:13 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.05 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 15:46 | −0.06 | +0.07 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 15:27 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 20:19 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.23 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 14:32 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 17:10 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.11 | −0.24 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 11:15 | −0.26 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 59:45 | +0.17 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Parayko D | 25:40 | 2 | +0.75 | −0.07 | +0.87 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 17:19 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.16 | −0.04 | +0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 10:40 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob de la Rose L | 8:51 | +0.06 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Tyler Bozak C | 16:06 | +0.04 | +0.08 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Robert Thomas C | 16:36 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mackenzie MacEachern L | 6:41 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Gunnarsson D | 14:41 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 22:07 | −0.09 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Steen L | 15:40 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Perron L | 17:57 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.11 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Sammy Blais L | 12:22 | −0.13 | +0.12 | −0.21 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 20:40 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 20:29 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.06 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Zachary Sanford L | 15:28 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 19:43 | −0.17 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Faulk D | 18:15 | −0.28 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jay Bouwmeester D | 22:15 | −0.35 | −0.24 | +0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington G | 62:19 | −0.04 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.