LAK beat ARI 3–2 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (LAK 2.7, ARI 2.7), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Alex Iafallo scored at 0:24 of overtime, moving LAK’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–ARI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:37 | LAK | Alex Iafallo from Ben Hutton, Dustin Brown | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 11:22 | ARI | Nick Schmaltz from Jason Demers, Carl Soderberg | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 19:04 | ARI | Christian Dvorak from Taylor Hall, Conor Garland | 1–2 | 52% → 77% |
| P3 17:06 | LAK | Alex IafalloPP from Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar | 2–2 | 9% → 49% |
| OT 0:24 | LAK | Alex Iafallo from Anze Kopitar, Sean Walker | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Iafallo L | 21:00 | 3 | +2.34 | +0.17 | +2.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Blake Lizotte C | 13:00 | +0.15 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 13:59 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.27 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Sean Walker D | 19:39 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.14 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 21:02 | 2 | +0.02 | +0.13 | −0.19 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Ben Hutton D | 19:13 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Lewis C | 12:07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 19:02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 18:00 | −0.04 | +0.08 | −0.10 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 13:52 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 23:25 | −0.15 | −0.12 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolai Prokhorkin L | 9:08 | −0.17 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Clifford L | 13:20 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dustin Brown R | 16:16 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Austin Wagner L | 11:12 | −0.32 | +0.04 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 14:46 | −0.32 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 16:08 | −0.40 | +0.06 | −0.46 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joakim Ryan D | 20:10 | −0.49 | −0.23 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Campbell G | 60:17 | +0.34 |
ARI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Schmaltz C | 15:13 | 1 | +1.20 | +0.05 | +0.88 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.05 | |
| Christian Dvorak C | 16:00 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.17 | +0.69 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Conor Garland R | 16:25 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.17 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Goligoski D | 24:28 | +0.04 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Lyubushkin D | 17:53 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Demers D | 22:35 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Lawson Crouse L | 13:51 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 20:50 | −0.09 | +0.24 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Fischer R | 10:03 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Niklas Hjalmarsson D | 20:05 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 12:02 | −0.13 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Soderberg C | 13:02 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Clayton Keller R | 17:07 | −0.15 | +0.07 | −0.39 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Stepan C | 17:37 | −0.20 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Michael Grabner L | 11:22 | −0.22 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 18:28 | −0.25 | −0.11 | −0.16 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 13:33 | −0.35 | −0.08 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Taylor Hall L | 17:27 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.19 | −0.59 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill G | 60:17 | −0.58 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.