CAR beat LAK 2–0. CAR lost the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 4.1 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter scored at 4:52 of the first, moving CAR’s win probability from 53% to 69%. James Reimer saved 4.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–CAR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:52 |  CAR | Nino Niederreiter from Teuvo Teravainen, Sebastian Aho | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P3 19:56 | CAR | Teuvo TeravainenEN unassisted | 0–2 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Martinez D | 22:43 | +0.35 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 19:24 | +0.21 | +0.36 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 15:25 | +0.12 | +0.10 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:30 | +0.11 | +0.35 | −0.28 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 12:54 | +0.11 | +0.15 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 27:09 | +0.07 | +0.43 | −0.34 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 18:46 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 16:54 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 10:37 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 17:38 | −0.08 | +0.16 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Kyle Clifford L | 12:36 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 10:27 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 18:08 | −0.14 | +0.61 | −0.72 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Nikolai Prokhorkin L | 12:47 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 14:24 | −0.17 | +0.22 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 19:19 | −0.33 | +0.35 | −0.67 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dustin Brown R | 14:34 | −0.35 | −0.13 | −0.24 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Wagner L | 13:45 | −0.58 | +0.35 | −0.73 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Campbell G | 58:00 | +1.40 |
CAR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nino Niederreiter R | 13:38 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.00 | +0.64 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Jaccob Slavin D | 21:36 | +0.15 | +0.11 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lucas Wallmark C | 11:46 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jordan Martinook L | 10:26 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 13:30 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock McGinn L | 12:35 | −0.10 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sebastian Aho C | 18:26 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.05 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Dougie Hamilton D | 23:20 | −0.17 | −0.05 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrei Svechnikov R | 17:06 | −0.20 | −0.08 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 15:50 | −0.25 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Gardiner D | 18:40 | −0.26 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Necas C | 13:25 | −0.28 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 16:03 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Dzingel C | 14:18 | −0.39 | −0.31 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Staal C | 17:03 | −0.42 | −0.21 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 17:32 | 1 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.17 | −0.28 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Erik Haula L | 17:14 | −0.60 | −0.56 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Brett Pesce D | 23:32 | −0.60 | −0.49 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| James Reimer G | 60:00 | +4.17 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.