NJD beat BOS 3–2 in a shootout. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 4.6 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jesper Bratt scored at 13:11 of the third, moving NJD’s win probability from 16% to 51%. Jaroslav Halak saved 2.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:03 | BOS | Brad MarchandPP from David Pastrnak, Matt Grzelcyk | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P2 4:27 | BOS | Joakim Nordstrom from Sean Kuraly, Brandon Carlo | 2–0 | 67% → 82% |
| P2 8:58 | NJD | Blake Coleman from Nikita Gusev, Sami Vatanen | 2–1 | 16% → 32% |
| P3 13:11 | NJD | Jesper Bratt from P.K. Subban, Nico Hischier | 2–2 | 16% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Wagner R | 14:41 | +0.96 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +1.02 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 15:27 | 1 | +0.40 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.02 | +0.35 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Joakim Nordstrom C | 12:06 | 1 | +0.16 | −0.04 | +0.40 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Par Lindholm C | 11:42 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| David Backes R | 7:57 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| John Moore D | 18:09 | −0.08 | +0.11 | −0.05 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Ritchie R | 11:19 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Steven Kampfer D | 12:23 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Bjork L | 13:10 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 27:22 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.39 | −0.03 | +0.09 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 20:46 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.05 | +0.26 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.48 | |
| Zdeno Chara D | 27:50 | −0.38 | −0.47 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 23:41 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 15:40 | −0.49 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 13:35 | −0.56 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.48 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 19:44 | −0.77 | +0.03 | −0.16 | −0.17 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.48 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 19:03 | −0.91 | −0.43 | −0.09 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.32 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 21:06 | 1 | −0.93 | −0.23 | −0.52 | +0.22 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.38 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak G | 65:00 | +2.21 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hughes C | 14:19 | +0.99 | +0.15 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.02 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 25:42 | +0.86 | +0.17 | −0.13 | −0.16 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.02 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 19:01 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.17 | +0.13 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jesper Bratt L | 15:23 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.11 | +0.31 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Nico Hischier C | 20:03 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.14 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Andy Greene D | 20:02 | +0.13 | +0.26 | −0.01 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| P.K. Subban D | 19:56 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.37 | −0.12 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mirco Mueller D | 15:38 | +0.01 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miles Wood L | 14:40 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nikita Gusev L | 17:58 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.33 | −0.28 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.32 | |
| Will Butcher D | 16:28 | −0.03 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Hayden C | 8:59 | −0.15 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Travis Zajac C | 19:26 | −0.18 | +0.08 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:42 | −0.25 | +0.05 | −0.10 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Sami Vatanen D | 26:47 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.04 | −0.24 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Palmieri C | 17:43 | −0.42 | +0.47 | −0.27 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.48 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 8:52 | −0.50 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.38 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 14:35 | −0.63 | −0.00 | −0.11 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.48 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood G | 65:00 | +1.83 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.