NJD beat OTT 4–3 in overtime. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 4.2 to 3.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jack Hughes scored at 0:54 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–OTT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:58 | NJD | Nico HischierPP from Sami Vatanen, Damon Severson | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 8:39 |  OTT | Nick Paul from Anthony Duclair, Cody Goloubef | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 13:28 | OTT | Artem Anisimov from Andreas Englund, Colin White | 1–2 | 53% → 75% |
| P2 15:12 | NJD | Nikita GusevPP from Sami Vatanen, Jack Hughes | 2–2 | 30% → 48% |
| P2 18:00 | NJD | Miles Wood from Wayne Simmonds | 3–2 | 47% → 72% |
| P3 15:02 | OTT | Thomas Chabot from Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 3–3 | 13% → 51% |
| OT 0:54 | NJD | Jack Hughes from Kyle Palmieri, Sami Vatanen | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hughes C | 17:17 | 1 | 1 | +0.96 | +0.23 | +0.65 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Nikita Gusev L | 15:25 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.64 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sami Vatanen D | 24:29 | 3 | +0.52 | +0.37 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Miles Wood L | 14:57 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.18 | +0.71 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nico Hischier C | 19:01 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.20 | +0.31 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Jesper Boqvist C | 8:43 | +0.23 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.35 | +0.00 | ||
| Andy Greene D | 19:36 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| P.K. Subban D | 19:46 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Zajac C | 16:56 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 13:27 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.17 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 24:59 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.32 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Zacha C | 13:59 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 18:20 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| John Hayden C | 6:27 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 17:47 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.25 | −0.55 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Connor Carrick D | 10:31 | −0.34 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Mirco Mueller D | 18:27 | −0.41 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 16:36 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.19 | −0.38 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood G | 60:54 | −0.50 |
OTT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Chabot D | 28:25 | 1 | +0.97 | +0.06 | +0.90 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Paul L | 14:28 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.07 | +0.67 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| J.C. Beaudin C | 5:48 | +0.18 | +0.19 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Artem Anisimov C | 15:35 | 1 | +0.16 | −0.00 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Andreas Englund D | 9:48 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Christian Jaros D | 7:53 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Brannstrom D | 21:50 | +0.01 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Goloubef D | 25:52 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Sabourin R | 7:17 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Tierney C | 17:22 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Tyler Ennis R | 14:25 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Duclair L | 14:44 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.19 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mark Borowiecki D | 21:02 | −0.15 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Brown R | 22:27 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brady Tkachuk L | 18:02 | −0.26 | −0.18 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Colin White C | 17:51 | 1 | −0.34 | +0.04 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.03 | |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 21:31 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.30 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 11:18 | −0.49 | +0.06 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.35 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Craig Anderson G | 60:54 | −0.29 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.