ANA beat NYI 6–5 in a shootout. ANA lost the expected-goals battle 2.1 to 2.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Ryan Pulock scored short-handed at 13:19 of the third, moving NYI’s win probability from 15% to 51%. Semyon Varlamov allowed 4.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:50 |  NYI | Anders Lee from Mathew Barzal, Jordan Eberle | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 16:27 | ANA | Maxime Comtois from Isac Lundeström, Hampus Lindholm | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P1 17:03 | ANA | Sam Carrick unassisted | 2–1 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 17:50 | NYI | Brock NelsonPP from Ryan Pulock, Nick Leddy | 2–2 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 5:23 | ANA | Adam HenriqueSH from Michael Del Zotto, Korbinian Holzer | 3–2 | 46% → 66% |
| P2 9:20 | NYI | Mathew BarzalSH from Anders Lee, Jordan Eberle | 3–3 | 31% → 53% |
| P2 14:15 | NYI | Nick Leddy from Brock Nelson, Derick Brassard | 3–4 | 53% → 75% |
| P2 14:41 | ANA | Jakob SilfverbergSH from Adam Henrique, Hampus Lindholm | 4–4 | 24% → 46% |
| P3 10:19 | ANA | Cam Fowler from Nicolas Deslauriers | 5–4 | 48% → 81% |
| P3 13:19 | NYI | Ryan PulockSH from Nick Leddy, Derick Brassard | 5–5 | 15% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 16:54 | 1 | +1.79 | −0.07 | +0.85 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +1.02 | |
| Maxime Comtois L | 20:01 | 1 | +1.36 | −0.21 | +0.79 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.79 | |
| Sam Carrick C | 13:41 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.19 | +0.56 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | |
| Adam Henrique C | 14:20 | 1 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.58 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 |
| Cam Fowler D | 24:50 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.15 | +0.68 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Devin Shore C | 13:01 | +0.15 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 11:47 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.18 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Carter Rowney C | 13:46 | +0.14 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 26:32 | 2 | +0.02 | +0.07 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Manson D | 18:45 | −0.07 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gudbranson D | 22:49 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Del Zotto D | 12:54 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Korbinian Holzer D | 12:32 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Max Jones L | 15:50 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 17:19 | −0.19 | −0.13 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 19:42 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | |
| Ondrej Kase R | 20:00 | −0.35 | −0.06 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 17:12 | −0.36 | −0.17 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 64:48 | −1.84 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pulock D | 23:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.98 | +0.23 | +0.71 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Brock Nelson C | 20:18 | 1 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.08 | +0.68 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 |
| Nick Leddy D | 22:03 | 1 | 2 | +0.51 | −0.27 | +0.80 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Mathew Barzal C | 21:21 | 1 | 1 | +0.45 | −0.04 | +0.64 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.04 | −0.38 |
| Anders Lee C | 20:00 | 1 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.02 | +0.42 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 |
| Josh Bailey R | 18:52 | +0.39 | +0.02 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.69 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 17:16 | +0.25 | +0.05 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.35 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 20:14 | +0.22 | +0.22 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devon Toews D | 19:19 | +0.08 | +0.11 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Kuhnhackl R | 12:30 | +0.06 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 18:25 | +0.01 | +0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Leo Komarov R | 10:43 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 7:25 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Matt Martin L | 8:43 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Johnny Boychuk D | 20:14 | −0.07 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derick Brassard C | 13:34 | 2 | −0.36 | +0.18 | −0.39 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Casey Cizikas C | 15:37 | −0.37 | +0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.35 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 17:48 | 2 | −0.68 | −0.14 | −0.24 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov G | 65:00 | −4.17 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.