PHI beat TOR 6–1. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Claude Giroux scored at 10:00 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 52% to 83%. Carter Hart saved 2.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | TOR–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 8:49 |  PHI | Scott Laughton from Kevin Hayes, Matt Niskanen | 0–1 | 53% → 73% |
| P3 8:38 |  TOR | Travis Dermott from Jason Spezza | 1–1 | 18% → 48% |
| P3 10:00 | PHI | Claude Giroux from Travis Konecny, Philippe Myers | 1–2 | 52% → 83% |
| P3 16:32 | PHI | Travis Konecny from Philippe Myers | 1–3 | 91% → 99% |
| P3 17:54 | PHI | Joel FarabeeEN from Ivan Provorov | 1–4 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 19:21 | PHI | Shayne Gostisbehere from Travis Sanheim | 1–5 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 19:33 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk from Philippe Myers, Shayne Gostisbehere | 1–6 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
TOR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Dermott D | 17:04 | 1 | +0.94 | +0.03 | +0.92 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 16:16 | +0.09 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Jason Spezza C | 12:07 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Dmytro Timashov L | 6:57 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Barrie D | 20:16 | −0.01 | +0.16 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frederik Gauthier C | 9:27 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Pierre Engvall L | 10:50 | −0.05 | +0.12 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| William Nylander R | 18:46 | −0.11 | +0.10 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Jake Muzzin D | 18:26 | −0.14 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Rielly D | 22:28 | −0.29 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 17:25 | −0.29 | −0.27 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Holl D | 19:09 | −0.32 | −0.06 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 20:53 | −0.33 | −0.34 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Johnsson L | 13:18 | −0.38 | −0.09 | −0.29 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Hyman L | 14:53 | −0.41 | −0.22 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Kerfoot C | 14:39 | −0.47 | −0.11 | −0.33 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Auston Matthews C | 21:20 | −0.64 | −0.03 | −0.40 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.05 | ||
| John Tavares C | 20:08 | −0.99 | +0.07 | −1.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Frederik Andersen G | 59:30 | −1.72 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 19:07 | 1 | 1 | +1.23 | +0.23 | +0.83 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Travis Konecny R | 15:08 | 1 | 1 | +1.06 | +0.37 | +0.68 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Claude Giroux R | 17:59 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.24 | +0.36 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.09 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 17:04 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.28 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 12:06 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.13 | +0.31 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Philippe Myers D | 17:36 | 3 | +0.37 | +0.37 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Raffl L | 6:00 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Pitlick C | 8:44 | +0.03 | +0.15 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matt Niskanen D | 22:51 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakub Voracek R | 19:14 | −0.04 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 20:54 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.26 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.07 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 15:53 | −0.08 | +0.26 | −0.35 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 15:28 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 16:49 | −0.16 | +0.04 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 16:05 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 16:45 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.21 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:32 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.08 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 14:14 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.18 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 60:00 | +2.07 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.