NYR beat MIN 3–2 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (MIN 2.5, NYR 2.6), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Tony DeAngelo scored at 0:32 of overtime, moving NYR’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:50 | NYR | Brady Skjei from Tony DeAngelo, Artemi Panarin | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 17:11 | MIN | Zach Parise from Kevin Fiala, Jared Spurgeon | 1–1 | 24% → 47% |
| P3 10:00 | MIN | Ryan Donato from Ryan Hartman | 2–1 | 48% → 80% |
| P3 17:10 | NYR | Chris KreiderPP from Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox | 2–2 | 10% → 51% |
| OT 0:32 | NYR | Tony DeAngelo from Artemi Panarin, Ryan Strome | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Brodin D | 23:48 | +0.27 | +0.14 | +0.00 | −0.08 | +0.04 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 7:30 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.03 | +0.23 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikko Koivu C | 17:05 | +0.18 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Zach Parise L | 16:54 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.07 | +0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Carson Soucy D | 10:56 | +0.10 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 9:33 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.07 | −0.08 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Victor Rask C | 8:12 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 15:01 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.17 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Brad Hunt D | 12:24 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 14:48 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Staal C | 16:32 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Dumba D | 24:50 | −0.13 | +0.14 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Kunin C | 16:58 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jordan Greenway L | 17:17 | −0.17 | +0.15 | −0.08 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 24:30 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ryan Suter D | 24:37 | −0.23 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Zucker L | 16:16 | −0.37 | −0.05 | −0.31 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 18:07 | −0.45 | −0.23 | −0.17 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Stalock G | 60:32 | −0.36 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin L | 20:24 | 3 | +0.76 | +0.24 | −0.02 | +0.53 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tony DeAngelo D | 15:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.18 | +0.42 | +0.15 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Brady Skjei D | 21:28 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.30 | +0.45 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.35 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Fox D | 22:58 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.33 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Strome C | 22:49 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.19 | −0.04 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Micheal Haley L | 5:27 | +0.13 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 20:04 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.10 | +0.28 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Lindgren D | 17:55 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Smith D | 8:20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 14:44 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Libor Hajek D | 12:02 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Lemieux L | 16:56 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 16:16 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 19:48 | −0.16 | +0.15 | −0.26 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jesper Fast R | 15:05 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 17:53 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Boo Nieves C | 5:41 | −0.27 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.02 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 24:08 | −0.39 | −0.23 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Henrik Lundqvist G | 60:20 | +0.76 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.