DAL beat EDM 5–4 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 3.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jamie Benn scored short-handed at 1:14 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 46% to 100%. Ben Bishop allowed 1.8 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–EDM | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:57 | DAL | Jason Dickinson from Tyler Seguin, Roman Polak | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 9:08 | EDM | Jujhar Khaira unassisted | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 19:26 | EDM | Leon Draisaitl from Connor McDavid, Darnell Nurse | 1–2 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 0:48 | DAL | Miro Heiskanen from Jamie Benn, Jason Dickinson | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 3:34 | EDM | Jujhar Khaira from Connor McDavid, Oscar Klefbom | 2–3 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 18:41 | EDM | Ethan Bear from Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl | 2–4 | 77% → 91% |
| P3 5:21 | DAL | Blake ComeauSH from Andrew Cogliano, Radek Faksa | 3–4 | 6% → 20% |
| P3 18:11 | DAL | Tyler SeguinSH from Miro Heiskanen, Anton Khudobin | 4–4 | 5% → 50% |
| OT 1:14 | DAL | Jamie BennSH from Tyler Seguin, Esa Lindell | 5–4 | 46% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Dickinson C | 13:57 | 1 | 1 | +1.11 | +0.09 | +0.84 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Jamie Benn L | 17:53 | 1 | 1 | +0.99 | +0.22 | +0.69 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 28:13 | 1 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.51 | +0.23 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Blake Comeau L | 14:34 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.05 | +0.85 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 18:43 | 1 | 2 | +0.57 | +0.35 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 |
| Esa Lindell D | 26:35 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 20:59 | +0.17 | +0.37 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Andrej Sekera D | 17:22 | +0.15 | +0.21 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 13:49 | +0.13 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 13:36 | +0.06 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Cogliano C | 10:28 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Dowling C | 13:18 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Roman Polak D | 18:08 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Radulov R | 18:49 | −0.09 | +0.23 | −0.51 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 13:48 | −0.11 | +0.07 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 15:19 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Taylor Fedun D | 12:38 | −0.20 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Caamano R | 8:58 | −0.61 | −0.02 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.35 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 37:40 | +0.69 |
| Ben Bishop G | 23:34 | −1.76 |
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jujhar Khaira L | 16:38 | 2 | +1.27 | −0.10 | +1.38 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ethan Bear D | 20:37 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.08 | +0.75 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Leon Draisaitl C | 23:34 | 1 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.24 | +0.64 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Markus Granlund C | 7:06 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Gagner C | 7:25 | +0.10 | −0.03 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 16:32 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James Neal L | 16:40 | −0.12 | −0.19 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Archibald R | 14:09 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Benning D | 14:54 | −0.17 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kris Russell D | 17:28 | −0.20 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Russell R | 14:31 | −0.24 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Gaetan Haas C | 7:04 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Darnell Nurse D | 21:22 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zack Kassian R | 17:07 | −0.37 | −0.13 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 19:16 | −0.38 | −0.19 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Oscar Klefbom D | 25:58 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Connor McDavid C | 23:35 | 3 | −0.55 | −0.23 | −0.37 | +0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Riley Sheahan C | 16:25 | −0.60 | −0.09 | −0.52 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mikko Koskinen G | 60:57 | −1.44 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.