DAL beat VAN 4–2. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Tyler Seguin scored at 18:29 of the second, moving DAL’s win probability from 47% to 72%. Anton Khudobin saved 1.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:45 | DAL | Justin Dowling from Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 4:03 | DAL | Blake Comeau from Radek Faksa, Miro Heiskanen | 2–0 | 67% → 82% |
| P2 5:21 |  VAN | Jake Virtanen from Tanner Pearson, Bo Horvat | 2–1 | 18% → 33% |
| P2 11:30 | VAN | Troy Stecher from Jordie Benn, Elias Pettersson | 2–2 | 30% → 53% |
| P2 18:29 | DAL | Tyler Seguin from Miro Heiskanen, Joe Pavelski | 3–2 | 47% → 72% |
| P3 17:24 | DAL | Alexander Radulov from Joe Pavelski | 4–2 | 91% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Comeau L | 16:38 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.07 | +0.81 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Dowling C | 12:26 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.18 | +0.70 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 18:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.16 | +0.51 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.07 |
| Alexander Radulov R | 16:55 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.03 | +0.51 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 17:43 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.21 | −0.24 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.04 | |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 23:55 | 2 | +0.10 | +0.18 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Roman Polak D | 18:24 | +0.07 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrej Sekera D | 19:27 | +0.05 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Caamano R | 10:45 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 24:33 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 15:39 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.10 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Denis Gurianov R | 13:39 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 14:39 | −0.07 | +0.08 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 11:51 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Fedun D | 14:39 | −0.11 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rhett Gardner C | 9:44 | −0.28 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 16:06 | −0.36 | −0.10 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 18:21 | 2 | −0.41 | −0.06 | −0.44 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 60:00 | +1.16 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Stecher D | 13:12 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.11 | +0.87 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Virtanen R | 13:19 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.13 | +0.45 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| J.T. Miller C | 24:29 | +0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Chris Tanev D | 16:51 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 5:58 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 23:31 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Sven Baertschi L | 11:23 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Leivo L | 16:14 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Tyler Graovac C | 5:31 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jordie Benn D | 15:00 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 21:37 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 23:35 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tim Schaller L | 10:40 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 23:12 | −0.38 | −0.04 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 15:25 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.09 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 21:52 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.18 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Bo Horvat C | 20:44 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.04 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Adam Gaudette R | 14:31 | −0.57 | −0.02 | −0.51 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 58:09 | −1.09 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.