PHI beat CBJ 7–4. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kevin Hayes scored short-handed at 14:24 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 50% to 87%. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 2.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:51 | PHI | Jakub Voracek from James van Riemsdyk | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P1 17:26 | CBJ | Boone Jenner from Sonny Milano, Zach Werenski | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 2:28 | CBJ | Pierre-Luc Dubois from Seth Jones, Gustav Nyquist | 2–1 | 48% → 66% |
| P2 17:39 | PHI | James van RiemsdykPP from Jakub Voracek, Shayne Gostisbehere | 2–2 | 29% → 53% |
| P2 18:04 | CBJ | Boone Jenner from Josh Anderson, Sonny Milano | 3–2 | 47% → 72% |
| P3 2:15 | CBJ | Josh Anderson from Dean Kukan, Vladislav Gavrikov | 4–2 | 74% → 91% |
| P3 10:52 | PHI | Shayne Gostisbehere from Claude Giroux, Kevin Hayes | 4–3 | 4% → 19% |
| P3 12:37 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk from Ivan Provorov, Jakub Voracek | 4–4 | 17% → 51% |
| P3 14:24 | PHI | Kevin HayesSH unassisted | 4–5 | 50% → 87% |
| P3 18:21 | PHI | Michael RafflEN from Kevin Hayes | 4–6 | 94% → 100% |
| P3 19:46 | PHI | Travis KonecnyPP from Matt Niskanen, Ivan Provorov | 4–7 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boone Jenner C | 14:30 | 2 | +1.61 | +0.14 | +1.37 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.07 | |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 21:30 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.07 | +0.81 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Josh Anderson R | 16:59 | 1 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.19 | +0.55 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 13:47 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.27 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexandre Texier L | 3:42 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Savard D | 18:23 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Riley Nash C | 9:13 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Sonny Milano L | 9:56 | 2 | −0.13 | +0.09 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dean Kukan D | 13:12 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.26 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Emil Bemstrom C | 8:56 | −0.15 | +0.11 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Murray D | 20:04 | −0.35 | −0.27 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 26:19 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.49 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Cam Atkinson R | 16:00 | −0.53 | −0.40 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 18:42 | −0.53 | −0.34 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 18:43 | −0.57 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.09 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 25:28 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.41 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gustav Nyquist R | 19:38 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.15 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Foligno L | 19:04 | −0.68 | −0.50 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 58:53 | −2.24 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James van Riemsdyk L | 15:59 | 2 | 1 | +1.60 | +0.10 | +1.50 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jakub Voracek R | 16:32 | 1 | 2 | +0.93 | +0.09 | +0.78 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Kevin Hayes R | 17:57 | 1 | 2 | +0.84 | +0.35 | +0.32 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.02 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 18:10 | 1 | 1 | +0.42 | −0.12 | +0.72 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Travis Konecny R | 14:58 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.03 | +0.33 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 21:50 | 2 | +0.33 | +0.44 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 19:01 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.42 | −0.39 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.07 | |
| Matt Niskanen D | 18:12 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.46 | −0.16 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 24:42 | +0.13 | +0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 20:50 | +0.07 | +0.16 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 6:01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 16:44 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Hagg D | 14:49 | −0.03 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Stewart R | 7:13 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 16:17 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikhail Vorobyev C | 8:34 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 13:45 | −0.27 | +0.07 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 16:36 | −0.53 | +0.02 | −0.33 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.35 | +0.09 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Elliott G | 59:50 | −1.16 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.