NYI beat STL 3–2 in overtime. NYI also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 1.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Devon Toews scored at 1:13 of overtime, moving NYI’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | STL–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:48 | STL | Brayden Schenn from Justin Faulk, Jaden Schwartz | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P3 5:23 | STL | Vladimir TarasenkoPP from Vince Dunn, Brayden Schenn | 2–0 | 77% → 93% |
| P3 14:29 | NYI | Brock Nelson from Michael Dal Colle | 2–1 | 2% → 14% |
| P3 19:33 | NYI | Mathew BarzalPP from Johnny Boychuk | 2–2 | 4% → 51% |
| OT 1:13 | NYI | Devon Toews from Mathew Barzal, Brock Nelson | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Schenn C | 17:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.01 | +0.75 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 16:48 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.06 | +0.61 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Bozak C | 14:00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Sammy Blais L | 15:11 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 14:02 | −0.06 | −0.12 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.02 | ||
| Mackenzie MacEachern L | 7:43 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 17:39 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Justin Faulk D | 19:11 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Parayko D | 21:24 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Gunnarsson D | 17:17 | −0.14 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jay Bouwmeester D | 21:06 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 19:06 | −0.18 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 20:54 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 13:54 | −0.21 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 21:21 | −0.23 | −0.13 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Perron L | 17:29 | −0.25 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Robby Fabbri C | 11:05 | −0.32 | −0.09 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Steen L | 15:39 | −0.39 | −0.17 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington G | 61:13 | +0.29 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Toews D | 20:12 | 1 | +0.98 | +0.22 | +0.73 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mathew Barzal C | 19:55 | 1 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.16 | +0.65 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.04 |
| Brock Nelson C | 19:20 | 1 | 1 | +0.56 | −0.01 | +0.67 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.09 |
| Ryan Pulock D | 23:29 | +0.11 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Boychuk D | 19:17 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.10 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Bailey R | 15:23 | +0.03 | +0.13 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Leo Komarov R | 9:27 | +0.00 | +0.16 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 20:08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 18:18 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Dal Colle L | 13:25 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 20:00 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 19:56 | −0.09 | +0.09 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 6:48 | −0.10 | +0.15 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Wahlstrom R | 15:13 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 9:11 | −0.19 | +0.16 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derick Brassard C | 14:54 | −0.30 | +0.05 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Tom Kuhnhackl R | 16:45 | −0.32 | +0.02 | −0.33 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 19:13 | −0.42 | +0.11 | −0.35 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Greiss G | 60:28 | −0.17 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.