LAK beat CHI 3–2 in overtime. LAK lost the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 3.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Drew Doughty scored on the power play at 4:48 of overtime, moving LAK’s win probability from 54% to 100%. Jack Campbell saved 1.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:38 | CHI | Alex DeBrincat from Patrick Kane, Artem Anisimov | 1–0 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 16:05 | LAK | Austin Wagner from Jeff Carter, Matt Roy | 1–1 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 3:09 | CHI | Erik Gustafsson from Duncan Keith, Marcus Kruger | 2–1 | 48% → 74% |
| P3 15:45 | LAK | Michael Amadio from Kyle Clifford, Trevor Lewis | 2–2 | 12% → 51% |
| OT 4:48 | LAK | Drew DoughtyPP from Anze Kopitar, Tyler Toffoli | 2–3 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Gustafsson D | 24:14 | 1 | +1.05 | +0.31 | +0.75 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 22:53 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.19 | +0.67 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dominik Kahun C | 13:10 | +0.24 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 23:45 | +0.12 | +0.30 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.04 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 20:48 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Sikura R | 14:01 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kunitz L | 5:54 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Dahlstrom D | 19:10 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 17:05 | −0.07 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 18:51 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 3:35 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Gustav Forsling D | 15:41 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brent Seabrook D | 15:04 | −0.24 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Kruger C | 7:06 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Drake Caggiula L | 16:53 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.47 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 25:31 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.17 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artem Anisimov C | 20:25 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.05 | −0.30 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.10 | |
| Patrick Kane R | 26:18 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.18 | −0.96 | +0.09 | −0.04 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Crawford G | 64:48 | −0.12 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Doughty D | 28:52 | 1 | +1.00 | +0.13 | +0.88 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Amadio R | 7:48 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.12 | +0.77 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Austin Wagner L | 7:06 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.03 | +0.66 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 23:31 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.04 | |
| Derek Forbort D | 22:12 | +0.15 | +0.17 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 16:29 | +0.04 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul LaDue D | 11:28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 14:03 | −0.04 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Kurtis MacDermid L | 12:10 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 25:41 | −0.11 | −0.11 | −0.06 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 20:09 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.23 | −0.30 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.02 | |
| Tyler Toffoli C | 16:17 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.40 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Roy D | 20:21 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.27 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dustin Brown R | 23:06 | −0.33 | +0.04 | −0.39 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 7:26 | −0.34 | +0.09 | −0.42 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 17:13 | 1 | −0.34 | +0.04 | −0.19 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Clifford L | 17:08 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.11 | −0.47 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 17:43 | −0.67 | −0.41 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Campbell G | 64:48 | +1.04 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.