NYI beat WPG 5–4. NYI also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 3.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jordan Eberle scored at 18:47 of the third, moving NYI’s win probability from 50% to 95%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:13 |  WPG | Adam Lowry from Brandon Tanev, Nathan Beaulieu | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 6:11 | WPG | Adam Lowry from Jacob Trouba, Brandon Tanev | 0–2 | 69% → 83% |
| P1 10:19 | NYI | Mathew Barzal from Jordan Eberle | 1–2 | 17% → 30% |
| P2 3:46 | WPG | Brandon Tanev from Nathan Beaulieu, Adam Lowry | 1–3 | 72% → 87% |
| P2 6:06 | NYI | Anders LeePP from Ryan Pulock, Josh Bailey | 2–3 | 16% → 28% |
| P3 6:46 | WPG | Mark ScheifelePP from Jacob Trouba, Blake Wheeler | 2–4 | 81% → 95% |
| P3 7:49 | NYI | Jordan Eberle from Ryan Pulock, Adam Pelech | 3–4 | 5% → 19% |
| P3 18:14 | NYI | Casey Cizikas from Anthony Beauvillier, Ryan Pulock | 4–4 | 6% → 50% |
| P3 18:47 | NYI | Jordan Eberle from Mathew Barzal, Anders Lee | 5–4 | 50% → 95% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Eberle R | 16:34 | 2 | 1 | +1.43 | +0.14 | +1.26 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Casey Cizikas C | 16:38 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.08 | +0.73 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.08 | |
| Anders Lee C | 16:42 | 1 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.12 | +0.71 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Mathew Barzal C | 18:54 | 1 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.24 | +0.46 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 |
| Devon Toews D | 15:29 | +0.30 | +0.32 | −0.06 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 12:53 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.26 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Adam Pelech D | 22:55 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Johnny Boychuk D | 17:02 | +0.02 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 15:35 | −0.05 | +0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 21:00 | −0.11 | +0.07 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Kuhnhackl R | 8:27 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Martin L | 5:13 | −0.15 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Dal Colle L | 13:38 | −0.18 | +0.11 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 17:07 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.06 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Leo Komarov R | 10:45 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 20:03 | −0.40 | +0.06 | −0.43 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 18:13 | −0.41 | +0.08 | −0.49 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Pulock D | 25:50 | 3 | −0.60 | −0.07 | −0.57 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Lehner G | 60:00 | −0.66 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Lowry C | 16:32 | 2 | 1 | +1.29 | +0.01 | +1.26 | −0.06 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.06 |
| Brandon Tanev L | 15:49 | 1 | 2 | +0.44 | −0.07 | +0.50 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Mark Scheifele C | 20:20 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.05 | +0.34 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Bryan Little C | 19:18 | +0.17 | −0.01 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.36 | +0.05 | ||
| Nathan Beaulieu D | 14:41 | 2 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Blake Wheeler R | 20:23 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.05 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Matt Hendricks C | 5:04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 13:56 | −0.06 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.04 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 25:21 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.07 | −0.15 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Copp C | 11:22 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Sami Niku D | 10:29 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 19:29 | −0.24 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 19:07 | −0.25 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 14:38 | −0.29 | −0.13 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Perreault C | 9:12 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.36 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 18:49 | −0.50 | −0.09 | −0.40 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 22:27 | −0.54 | −0.27 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Laine L | 16:06 | −0.60 | −0.12 | −0.46 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 59:30 | −0.83 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.