PHI beat PIT 2–1 in overtime. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 3.9 to 4.4 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Sean Couturier scored at 4:56 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Carter Hart saved 3.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 2:07 | PIT | Teddy Blueger from Phil Kessel, Marcus Pettersson | 0–1 | 52% → 78% |
| P3 19:41 |  PHI | James van RiemsdykPP from Travis Konecny, Sean Couturier | 1–1 | 3% → 49% |
| OT 4:56 | PHI | Sean Couturier from Shayne Gostisbehere, Claude Giroux | 2–1 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Couturier C | 28:37 | 1 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.18 | +0.43 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 21:15 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.01 | +0.44 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 19:22 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.32 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Hagg D | 16:24 | +0.05 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corban Knight C | 5:09 | +0.03 | +0.09 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philippe Myers D | 12:47 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 6:04 | −0.03 | +0.16 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 13:44 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 16:15 | −0.13 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 13:12 | −0.17 | +0.06 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 28:42 | −0.25 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nolan Patrick C | 18:18 | −0.34 | −0.03 | −0.34 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jakub Voracek R | 24:08 | −0.34 | −0.18 | −0.20 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 17:09 | −0.40 | −0.21 | −0.37 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Varone C | 5:22 | −0.42 | +0.05 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 26:19 | −0.45 | −0.43 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 12:03 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.04 | −0.54 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 23:33 | 1 | −0.79 | +0.12 | −0.91 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 63:21 | +3.65 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Blueger C | 11:26 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.14 | +0.71 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Marcus Pettersson D | 22:42 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.38 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gudbranson D | 19:26 | +0.20 | +0.28 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joseph Blandisi C | 3:30 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Trotman D | 15:18 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garrett Wilson L | 5:31 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dominik Simon C | 15:16 | −0.06 | +0.11 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 19:09 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 17:19 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.31 | −0.35 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Johnson D | 15:47 | −0.20 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 24:11 | −0.24 | −0.12 | −0.20 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Matt Cullen C | 11:23 | −0.27 | −0.21 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 24:33 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.48 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Patric Hornqvist R | 19:57 | −0.47 | +0.06 | −0.73 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Bryan Rust R | 18:54 | −0.47 | −0.22 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nick Bjugstad C | 19:44 | −0.70 | +0.15 | −0.63 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Justin Schultz D | 23:45 | −0.77 | −0.47 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Guentzel C | 21:12 | −0.99 | −0.37 | −0.61 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Murray G | 64:41 | +2.29 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.