VAN beat NYR 4–1. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Brock Boeser scored on the power play at 6:07 of the second, moving VAN’s win probability from 54% to 73%. Jacob Markstrom saved 1.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 6:07 | VAN | Brock BoeserPP from Josh Leivo, Bo Horvat | 0–1 | 54% → 73% |
| P2 9:34 | VAN | Tyler Motte from Alexander Edler, Jacob Markstrom | 0–2 | 74% → 88% |
| P2 9:45 | VAN | Tyler Motte from Antoine Roussel | 0–3 | 88% → 96% |
| P3 10:28 |  NYR | Pavel BuchnevichPP from Mika Zibanejad, Tony DeAngelo | 1–3 | 0% → 4% |
| P3 19:35 | VAN | Jake VirtanenEN from Tanner Pearson, Troy Stecher | 1–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 15:55 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.09 | +0.51 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brady Skjei D | 22:25 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Lias Andersson C | 9:22 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Neal Pionk D | 18:08 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boo Nieves C | 10:11 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Marc Staal D | 16:24 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Smith D | 19:01 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 15:46 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 21:16 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Jesper Fast R | 16:26 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.26 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tony DeAngelo D | 22:08 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 21:45 | −0.18 | −0.08 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 20:07 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 18:07 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Lemieux L | 5:14 | −0.23 | −0.07 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jimmy Vesey L | 16:45 | −0.26 | +0.06 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 5:59 | −0.31 | +0.04 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 13:29 | −0.37 | −0.04 | −0.33 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Henrik Lundqvist G | 57:32 | +0.19 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Motte C | 16:20 | 2 | +1.29 | +0.07 | +1.25 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Brock Boeser R | 19:51 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.06 | +0.77 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 14:20 | +0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Chris Tanev D | 19:01 | +0.14 | +0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Guillaume Brisebois D | 8:33 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jay Beagle C | 14:04 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Ashton Sautner D | 12:31 | −0.00 | +0.09 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Markus Granlund C | 21:08 | −0.01 | +0.12 | −0.28 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Jake Virtanen R | 15:13 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Biega D | 17:58 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolay Goldobin R | 13:12 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Leivo L | 19:46 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Antoine Roussel L | 5:26 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Troy Stecher D | 19:51 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Edler D | 29:22 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.09 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Gaudette R | 12:14 | −0.27 | +0.11 | −0.37 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 13:14 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.04 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bo Horvat C | 21:03 | 1 | −0.63 | −0.04 | −0.64 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 60:00 | +1.44 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.