STL beat BOS 2–1 in a shootout. STL also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Chris Wagner scored at 5:12 of the second, moving BOS’s win probability from 27% to 47%. Jordan Binnington saved 2.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:15 | STL | Alexander Steen from Oskar Sundqvist | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P2 5:12 | BOS | Chris Wagner from Kevan Miller, Torey Krug | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Coyle C | 16:36 | +0.81 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.04 | +1.06 | ||
| Chris Wagner R | 12:42 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.02 | +0.60 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zdeno Chara D | 21:57 | +0.29 | +0.31 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 13:11 | +0.20 | +0.20 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 20:56 | +0.18 | +0.33 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Peter Cehlarik L | 11:14 | +0.09 | +0.18 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Karson Kuhlman C | 14:22 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 24:19 | −0.11 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| David Krejci C | 16:35 | −0.14 | +0.04 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 19:03 | −0.22 | −0.17 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 15:18 | −0.28 | +0.10 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 17:31 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:58 | −0.29 | +0.14 | −0.32 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.30 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 12:23 | −0.38 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.44 | ||
| Kevan Miller D | 22:23 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.52 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 19:39 | −0.86 | −0.20 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.35 | ||
| David Backes R | 13:20 | −0.95 | +0.01 | −0.52 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.44 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 18:33 | −1.07 | −0.26 | −0.31 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.44 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Rask G | 65:00 | +1.64 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Blais L | 11:36 | +1.05 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +1.06 | ||
| Tyler Bozak C | 17:21 | +0.79 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.71 | ||
| Alexander Steen L | 15:04 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.16 | +0.41 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.44 | |
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 22:44 | +0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.06 | −0.13 | ||
| Jay Bouwmeester D | 23:43 | +0.07 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 13:34 | +0.05 | +0.18 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 20:37 | −0.00 | +0.10 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 18:05 | −0.07 | +0.20 | −0.29 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Zachary Sanford L | 11:17 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Butler D | 11:41 | −0.19 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Patrick Maroon L | 16:13 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 19:39 | −0.24 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 27:48 | −0.27 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 15:21 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.10 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | |
| Mackenzie MacEachern L | 8:48 | −0.38 | +0.01 | −0.39 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Thomas C | 15:57 | −0.43 | +0.22 | −0.26 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.44 | ||
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 21:21 | −0.54 | −0.26 | −0.30 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.17 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 22:11 | −0.62 | −0.01 | −0.60 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington G | 65:00 | +2.41 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.