PHI beat DET 6–5 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (DET 2.7, PHI 2.7), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Travis Konecny scored at 1:27 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Jimmy Howard allowed 2.9 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:34 |  PHI | Shayne Gostisbehere from Nolan Patrick, Scott Laughton | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 14:07 | DET | Gustav Nyquist from Tyler Bertuzzi, Mike Green | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 2:59 | PHI | Travis KonecnyPP from Ivan Provorov, Sean Couturier | 1–2 | 54% → 72% |
| P2 4:02 | PHI | Scott Laughton from Wayne Simmonds, Nolan Patrick | 1–3 | 72% → 87% |
| P3 0:31 | PHI | Jakub Voracek from Oskar Lindblom | 1–4 | 92% → 98% |
| P3 1:24 | PHI | Nolan Patrick from Wayne Simmonds, Andrew MacDonald | 1–5 | 99% → 100% |
| P3 2:39 | DET | Tyler Bertuzzi from Dylan Larkin | 2–5 | 0% → 1% |
| P3 3:23 | DET | Thomas Vanek unassisted | 3–5 | 1% → 7% |
| P3 8:36 | DET | Anthony Mantha from Danny DeKeyser, Christoffer Ehn | 4–5 | 4% → 18% |
| P3 19:53 | DET | Anthony ManthaPP from Mike Green, Niklas Kronwall | 5–5 | 3% → 49% |
| OT 1:27 | PHI | Travis Konecny from Sean Couturier, Shayne Gostisbehere | 5–6 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mantha R | 17:44 | 2 | +1.21 | +0.03 | +1.17 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 19:32 | 1 | 1 | +0.70 | −0.03 | +0.74 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Thomas Vanek L | 13:55 | 1 | +0.56 | +0.04 | +0.52 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Gustav Nyquist R | 20:07 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.01 | +0.36 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Glendening C | 18:11 | +0.13 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Justin Abdelkader L | 10:55 | +0.10 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jacob de la Rose L | 12:05 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.05 | ||
| Nick Jensen D | 19:21 | +0.07 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Green D | 24:09 | 2 | +0.03 | +0.12 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Christoffer Ehn C | 11:02 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Dylan Larkin C | 22:10 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 14:59 | −0.08 | +0.13 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jonathan Ericsson D | 14:41 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Daley D | 15:36 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Niklas Kronwall D | 22:12 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.16 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Darren Helm C | 11:20 | −0.15 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danny DeKeyser D | 23:42 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Rasmussen C | 8:12 | −0.40 | +0.08 | −0.48 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bernier G | 18:40 | −0.61 |
| Jimmy Howard G | 41:24 | −2.92 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Konecny R | 15:22 | 2 | +1.60 | −0.09 | +1.70 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 18:17 | 1 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.10 | +0.85 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nolan Patrick C | 15:31 | 1 | 2 | +0.68 | +0.04 | +0.63 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Scott Laughton C | 16:38 | 1 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.22 | +0.70 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Jakub Voracek R | 19:12 | 1 | +0.42 | −0.10 | +0.50 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oskar Lindblom L | 18:35 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.09 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Bailey R | 6:21 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 22:51 | 2 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.25 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Andrew MacDonald D | 16:39 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 20:36 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 19:31 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 16:58 | 2 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 20:54 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 8:07 | −0.15 | +0.04 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Phil Varone C | 7:51 | −0.17 | +0.03 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 24:41 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Hagg D | 18:50 | −0.21 | −0.09 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 13:27 | −0.41 | −0.19 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 61:27 | −1.73 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.