NYI beat COL 4–3 in overtime. NYI also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Ryan Pulock scored at 2:23 of overtime, moving NYI’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | COL–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:19 | COL | Carl Soderberg from Erik Johnson, Matt Nieto | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 2:36 | COL | Erik Johnson from Carl Soderberg, Alexander Kerfoot | 2–0 | 66% → 81% |
| P2 18:13 | NYI | Jordan Eberle from Anders Lee | 2–1 | 12% → 28% |
| P3 8:03 | NYI | Josh Bailey from Michael Dal Colle, Adam Pelech | 2–2 | 22% → 52% |
| P3 13:57 | NYI | Ryan PulockPP from Jordan Eberle, Brock Nelson | 2–3 | 53% → 87% |
| P3 17:15 | COL | J.T. Compher from Carl Soderberg, Colin Wilson | 3–3 | 8% → 49% |
| OT 2:23 | NYI | Ryan Pulock from Casey Cizikas, Brock Nelson | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Compher L | 15:44 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.10 | +0.68 | −0.02 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Carl Soderberg C | 17:59 | 1 | 2 | +0.65 | −0.20 | +0.81 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Erik Johnson D | 25:12 | 1 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.08 | +0.60 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 12:50 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sven Andrighetto R | 8:22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sheldon Dries C | 9:57 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 12:44 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Wilson C | 13:39 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrik Nemeth D | 24:16 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 21:20 | −0.06 | +0.06 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Calvert L | 17:12 | −0.17 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| A.J. Greer L | 7:50 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Barrie D | 23:52 | −0.26 | −0.13 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Nieto L | 15:18 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.14 | −0.15 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Samuel Girard D | 22:11 | −0.32 | −0.13 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 19:30 | −0.36 | +0.05 | −0.42 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Alexander Kerfoot C | 13:59 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.23 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Mikko Rantanen R | 18:51 | −0.39 | −0.06 | −0.19 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov G | 62:23 | −0.38 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pulock D | 22:56 | 2 | +1.88 | +0.37 | +1.46 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Eberle R | 17:48 | 1 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.16 | +0.42 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Josh Bailey R | 13:54 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.01 | +0.48 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Adam Pelech D | 20:44 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.26 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnny Boychuk D | 21:19 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Devon Toews D | 16:06 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Leo Komarov R | 14:03 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Valtteri Filppula C | 14:07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Michael Dal Colle L | 14:13 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Martin L | 12:34 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 15:04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 14:20 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.17 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Tom Kuhnhackl R | 13:11 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 19:02 | 2 | −0.21 | +0.17 | −0.61 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.06 | |
| Anders Lee C | 17:05 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.13 | −0.41 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Leddy D | 23:18 | −0.31 | −0.30 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 15:33 | −0.32 | −0.11 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Barzal C | 17:52 | −0.39 | −0.17 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Lehner G | 62:23 | −0.57 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.