CHI beat EDM 6–2. CHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dylan Strome scored at 5:23 of the third, moving CHI’s win probability from 48% to 76%. Cam Talbot allowed 1.6 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–EDM | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:55 | CHI | Erik GustafssonPP from Jonathan Toews | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 16:41 | EDM | Leon DraisaitlPP from Connor McDavid, Darnell Nurse | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P1 18:45 | EDM | Leon DraisaitlPP from Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 1–2 | 58% → 72% |
| P3 3:50 | CHI | John Hayden from Marcus Kruger, Chris Kunitz | 2–2 | 21% → 48% |
| P3 5:23 | CHI | Dylan Strome from Dominik Kahun, Alex DeBrincat | 3–2 | 48% → 76% |
| P3 5:51 | CHI | Patrick Kane from Brandon Saad, Artem Anisimov | 4–2 | 76% → 93% |
| P3 6:38 | CHI | Drake Caggiula from Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane | 5–2 | 93% → 99% |
| P3 12:12 | CHI | Dominik KahunPP from Brent Seabrook, Brandon Saad | 6–2 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hayden C | 10:00 | 1 | +0.97 | +0.00 | +0.79 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 21:04 | 1 | +0.85 | +0.07 | +0.78 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Strome C | 16:48 | 1 | +0.71 | +0.13 | +0.64 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.08 | |
| Dominik Kahun C | 16:12 | 1 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.04 | +0.61 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Drake Caggiula L | 14:01 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.01 | +0.63 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Kane R | 23:44 | 1 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.11 | +0.39 | +0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 16:52 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.13 | −0.15 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Chris Kunitz L | 7:15 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Kampf C | 5:30 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 19:51 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 20:31 | 2 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.31 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.04 | |
| Brent Seabrook D | 20:14 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Slater Koekkoek D | 21:02 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 21:14 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 17:26 | 2 | −0.19 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artem Anisimov C | 17:08 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.10 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Marcus Kruger C | 10:58 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.02 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.04 | |
| Carl Dahlstrom D | 14:26 | −0.41 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.36 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward G | 59:54 | +0.20 |
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl C | 21:38 | 2 | +0.92 | −0.02 | +1.08 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.03 | |
| Connor McDavid C | 21:35 | 2 | +0.37 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.16 | −0.02 | +0.18 | −0.02 | |
| Oscar Klefbom D | 20:56 | +0.06 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 20:59 | +0.05 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ty Rattie R | 14:40 | +0.03 | −0.03 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 20:20 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.15 | −0.26 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Milan Lucic L | 14:15 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Benning D | 14:46 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Malone C | 9:24 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jesse Puljujarvi R | 10:38 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Gravel D | 16:18 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 13:21 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alex Chiasson R | 17:32 | −0.13 | +0.08 | −0.16 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tobias Rieder L | 12:44 | −0.15 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Darnell Nurse D | 22:46 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kris Russell D | 19:37 | −0.16 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack Kassian R | 13:03 | −0.25 | +0.02 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Brodziak C | 9:38 | −0.38 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mikko Koskinen G | 14:09 | −1.16 |
| Cam Talbot G | 45:51 | −1.65 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.