CHI beat MIN 4–3 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (CHI 2.6, MIN 2.3), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Erik Gustafsson scored on the power play at 1:19 of overtime, moving CHI’s win probability from 50% to 100%. Alex Stalock allowed 1.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:22 | MIN | Jason ZuckerPP from Mikael Granlund, Ryan Suter | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P2 7:51 | CHI | Alex DeBrincat from Dominik Kahun, Dylan Strome | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 14:47 | CHI | Erik Gustafsson from Dominik Kahun, Dylan Strome | 2–1 | 47% → 71% |
| P3 8:11 | MIN | Mikko Koivu from Zach Parise, Jared Spurgeon | 2–2 | 22% → 52% |
| P3 15:25 | CHI | Jonathan ToewsPP from Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat | 3–2 | 51% → 87% |
| P3 16:58 | MIN | Victor Rask from Jordan Greenway, Marcus Foligno | 3–3 | 10% → 51% |
| OT 1:19 | CHI | Erik GustafssonPP from Alex DeBrincat, Jonathan Toews | 4–3 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Gustafsson D | 22:07 | 2 | +2.08 | +0.15 | +1.76 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 18:47 | 1 | 2 | +0.55 | −0.02 | +0.74 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 |
| Jonathan Toews C | 24:18 | 1 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.09 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Drake Caggiula L | 14:48 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Marcus Kruger C | 12:29 | +0.11 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Forsling D | 16:27 | +0.09 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 15:20 | +0.05 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Hayden C | 5:41 | +0.04 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 26:46 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.11 | −0.31 | +0.08 | −0.04 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Artem Anisimov C | 11:57 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 15:59 | −0.13 | +0.05 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Dahlstrom D | 17:22 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 18:34 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominik Kahun C | 12:22 | 2 | −0.21 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brent Seabrook D | 19:22 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 16:23 | 2 | −0.23 | −0.08 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Duncan Keith D | 22:15 | −0.27 | −0.03 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Perlini L | 7:34 | −0.32 | +0.08 | −0.38 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Delia G | 61:19 | −0.57 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Zucker L | 17:50 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.11 | +0.76 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Victor Rask C | 13:05 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.07 | +0.60 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Mikko Koivu C | 20:17 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.16 | +0.76 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Jordan Greenway L | 12:58 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.07 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.36 | +0.00 | |
| Mikael Granlund C | 18:40 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.07 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 7:23 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 29:17 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Foligno L | 14:03 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.09 | −0.36 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Jonas Brodin D | 23:08 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| JT Brown R | 3:54 | −0.11 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Fehr C | 10:33 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 19:59 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Greg Pateryn D | 19:40 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 28:04 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.06 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Hendricks C | 6:15 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brad Hunt D | 12:05 | −0.24 | −0.04 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Parise L | 20:43 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.19 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Eric Staal C | 18:51 | −0.73 | +0.10 | −0.61 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.18 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Stalock G | 61:19 | −1.14 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.