PHI beat BOS 3–2 in overtime. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Travis Sanheim scored on the power play at 2:56 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 50% to 100%.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:05 | David PastrnakPP from Torey Krug, Brad Marchand | 0–1 | 54% → 69% | |
| P1 19:16 | Claude Giroux from Jakub Voracek | 1–1 | 29% → 47% | |
| P2 5:11 | David Pastrnak from Patrice Bergeron, Zdeno Chara | 1–2 | 53% → 73% | |
| P3 10:36 | Oskar LindblomPP from Jakub Voracek, Travis Sanheim | 2–2 | 17% → 48% | |
| OT 2:56 | Travis SanheimPP from Sean Couturier, Travis Konecny | 3–2 | 50% → 100% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Voracek R | 21:09 | 2 | +0.47 | +0.13 | −0.06 | +0.41 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:53 | 1 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.16 | +0.36 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Claude Giroux R | 21:06 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.15 | +0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.05 | |
| Oskar Lindblom L | 16:08 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.07 | +0.38 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 14:46 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.08 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 23:22 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.13 | −0.27 | +0.25 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.09 | |
| Radko Gudas D | 20:16 | +0.10 | +0.08 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 17:28 | +0.04 | +0.28 | −0.16 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Folin D | 11:30 | −0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 7:14 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Varone C | 9:09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Hagg D | 17:39 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nolan Patrick C | 13:49 | −0.05 | +0.21 | −0.16 | −0.12 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Mikhail Vorobyev C | 9:19 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Andrew MacDonald D | 17:28 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 30:20 | −0.09 | +0.19 | −0.07 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 18:16 | −0.11 | +0.24 | −0.28 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 16:37 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 62:56 | +0.09 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak R | 17:27 | 2 | +0.98 | +0.13 | +0.69 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Patrice Bergeron C | 19:21 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.19 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.08 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 22:13 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 9:57 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| David Backes R | 9:44 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Zdeno Chara D | 22:15 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.10 | −0.18 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Danton Heinen L | 12:32 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 19:45 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Torey Krug D | 20:23 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.16 | −0.04 | +0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Wagner R | 13:17 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Kevan Miller D | 15:03 | −0.12 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joakim Nordstrom C | 14:13 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 19:50 | −0.22 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Moore D | 20:10 | −0.22 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 24:05 | −0.25 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 12:47 | −0.30 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Peter Cehlarik L | 13:59 | −0.48 | −0.25 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Krejci C | 19:57 | −0.48 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.07 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Rask G | 62:56 | +0.31 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.