WPG beat BOS 4–3 in a shootout. WPG lost the expected-goals battle 1.6 to 3.2 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron scored at 11:39 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 18% to 52%. Jaroslav Halak allowed 1.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:49 | BOS | Patrice Bergeron from Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 13:53 | WPG | Josh MorrisseyPP from Mark Scheifele | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P1 18:33 | BOS | David PastrnakPP from Brad Marchand, Torey Krug | 1–2 | 54% → 72% |
| P3 4:27 | WPG | Kyle Connor from Tyler Myers, Ben Chiarot | 2–2 | 21% → 48% |
| P3 5:01 | WPG | Kyle Connor from Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler | 3–2 | 48% → 76% |
| P3 11:39 | BOS | Patrice Bergeron from Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak | 3–3 | 18% → 52% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor L | 22:44 | 2 | +2.41 | +0.07 | +1.66 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.71 | |
| Josh Morrissey D | 24:28 | 1 | +0.85 | −0.01 | +0.86 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 15:48 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 12:37 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Morrow D | 14:16 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Perreault C | 15:50 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Scheifele C | 23:31 | 2 | −0.09 | +0.15 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.04 | +0.00 | |
| Brendan Lemieux L | 10:37 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 9:05 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bryan Little C | 14:42 | −0.16 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Laine L | 10:55 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.09 | ||
| Brandon Tanev L | 14:58 | −0.21 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 23:49 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 20:55 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.17 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 24:50 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Adam Lowry C | 16:01 | −0.37 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 10:32 | −0.38 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Wheeler R | 23:50 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.18 | −0.44 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 65:00 | +0.82 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrice Bergeron C | 19:34 | 2 | +1.37 | +0.07 | +1.21 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.09 | +0.00 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 19:42 | 1 | 2 | +0.34 | +0.01 | +0.35 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.27 |
| David Krejci C | 20:21 | +0.17 | +0.13 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 25:08 | +0.12 | +0.13 | −0.06 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| David Backes R | 13:15 | +0.11 | +0.13 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 14:20 | +0.09 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 20:52 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.21 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Kevan Miller D | 14:57 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 19:58 | −0.01 | +0.11 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 11:35 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 20:25 | 3 | −0.06 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.31 | |
| Trent Frederic C | 8:29 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 21:25 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Peter Cehlarik L | 14:49 | −0.17 | +0.14 | −0.30 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Wagner R | 15:21 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 15:06 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | ||
| Zdeno Chara D | 19:57 | −0.32 | −0.11 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 17:42 | −0.63 | +0.17 | −0.51 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.30 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak G | 64:59 | −1.51 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.