PHI beat BOS 4–3. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 1.5 to 3.4 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Sean Couturier scored at 5:32 of the second, moving PHI’s win probability from 33% to 53%. Jaroslav Halak allowed 2.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:39 | BOS | David PastrnakPP from Torey Krug, Brad Marchand | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 9:12 | BOS | Peter Cehlarik from Jake DeBrusk, David Krejci | 2–0 | 63% → 77% |
| P1 12:44 | PHI | Oskar Lindblom from Claude Giroux, Ivan Provorov | 2–1 | 22% → 36% |
| P2 5:32 | PHI | Sean Couturier from Jakub Voracek, Travis Sanheim | 2–2 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 6:47 | PHI | Sean CouturierPP from Wayne Simmonds, Claude Giroux | 2–3 | 54% → 73% |
| P3 15:53 | PHI | Sean Couturier from Oskar Lindblom, Ivan Provorov | 2–4 | 90% → 99% |
| P3 18:54 | BOS | Peter CehlarikPP from Brad Marchand, Torey Krug | 3–4 | 0% → 4% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cehlarik L | 17:40 | 2 | +1.39 | −0.01 | +1.58 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 21:46 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.00 | +0.40 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Carlo D | 16:35 | +0.14 | +0.17 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Zdeno Chara D | 16:18 | +0.12 | +0.12 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 21:00 | 2 | +0.11 | +0.09 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 12:05 | +0.06 | +0.05 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Wagner R | 12:14 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 11:53 | −0.02 | +0.09 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Kevan Miller D | 16:52 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 10:53 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 12:25 | −0.10 | +0.06 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 15:57 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson C | 10:34 | −0.22 | +0.06 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 22:27 | 2 | −0.25 | +0.09 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 20:27 | −0.28 | −0.03 | −0.26 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Krejci C | 18:22 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.02 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 19:59 | −0.34 | +0.03 | −0.39 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 20:56 | −0.50 | +0.04 | −0.40 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.18 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak G | 58:44 | −2.49 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Couturier C | 22:18 | 3 | +2.66 | −0.08 | +2.36 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.36 | +0.03 | |
| Oskar Lindblom L | 16:10 | 1 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.01 | +0.78 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:54 | 2 | +0.17 | +0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Raffl L | 8:38 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 12:13 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Varone C | 7:46 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Voracek R | 17:03 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 15:51 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 19:54 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 16:37 | −0.13 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 17:13 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 20:56 | 2 | −0.21 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Wayne Simmonds R | 14:47 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.15 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Hagg D | 17:49 | −0.22 | −0.20 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew MacDonald D | 19:14 | −0.22 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nolan Patrick C | 13:35 | −0.27 | −0.10 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 18:57 | −0.39 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.04 | ||
| Jori Lehtera C | 5:40 | −0.39 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.36 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 60:00 | +0.88 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.