MTL beat COL 3–0. MTL also won the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Brett Kulak scored short-handed at 8:21 of the third, moving MTL’s win probability from 51% to 81%. Carey Price saved 2.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | COL–MTL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 8:21 | MTL | Brett KulakSH from Phillip Danault | 0–1 | 51% → 81% |
| P3 10:39 | MTL | Jesperi Kotkaniemi from Jonathan Drouin, Mike Reilly | 0–2 | 84% → 97% |
| P3 18:44 | MTL | Jordie BennEN from Phillip Danault | 0–3 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Wilson C | 9:45 | +0.11 | +0.04 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Barberio D | 15:40 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sven Andrighetto R | 9:50 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 9:32 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Nieto L | 11:37 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Calvert L | 13:09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Samuel Girard D | 20:32 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sheldon Dries C | 7:06 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Erik Johnson D | 23:47 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Cole D | 18:19 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Soderberg C | 17:15 | −0.19 | +0.10 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Alexander Kerfoot C | 13:36 | −0.19 | +0.12 | −0.31 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Tyson Barrie D | 22:44 | −0.29 | −0.16 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Jost C | 11:04 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 24:08 | −0.34 | −0.27 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| J.T. Compher L | 19:43 | −0.40 | −0.12 | −0.29 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 24:23 | −0.51 | −0.29 | −0.22 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Mikko Rantanen R | 22:57 | −0.52 | −0.28 | −0.25 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov G | 58:53 | +0.19 |
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | 12:49 | 1 | +0.84 | −0.04 | +0.91 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Kulak D | 12:48 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.10 | +0.78 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Jordie Benn D | 17:27 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.26 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 19:24 | 2 | +0.20 | +0.15 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.09 | |
| Victor Mete D | 19:46 | +0.10 | +0.06 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Chaput C | 13:47 | +0.09 | −0.04 | −0.21 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.36 | +0.00 | ||
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 14:37 | +0.00 | +0.21 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 15:46 | −0.02 | +0.10 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Gallagher R | 15:26 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Reilly D | 16:58 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Drouin L | 15:58 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jeff Petry D | 23:54 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 8:57 | −0.17 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Tatar L | 15:07 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shea Weber D | 24:53 | −0.19 | +0.08 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Domi C | 15:38 | −0.20 | +0.16 | −0.47 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Paul Byron L | 17:54 | −0.24 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kenny Agostino L | 10:51 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carey Price G | 60:00 | +2.25 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.