DAL beat WSH 2–1 in overtime. DAL lost the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 4.0 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Tyler Seguin scored at 3:37 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Anton Khudobin saved 3.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 13:20 | DAL | Tyler SeguinPP from Radek Faksa, Alexander Radulov | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P2 10:19 | WSH | Lars Eller from Andre Burakovsky, Brooks Orpik | 1–1 | 26% → 47% |
| OT 3:37 | DAL | Tyler Seguin from Alexander Radulov, Roope Hintz | 1–2 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Eller C | 16:53 | 1 | +0.28 | −0.06 | +0.55 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | |
| John Carlson D | 27:52 | +0.15 | +0.17 | −0.06 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 12:30 | +0.15 | +0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Connolly R | 13:55 | +0.12 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 14:00 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.18 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 20:03 | +0.09 | +0.63 | −0.48 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | ||
| Jakub Vrana L | 12:03 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michal Kempny D | 19:19 | +0.06 | +0.08 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brooks Orpik D | 12:15 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Niskanen D | 21:44 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Boyd C | 9:55 | −0.01 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Nicklas Backstrom C | 21:48 | −0.01 | +0.27 | −0.28 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 25:12 | −0.08 | +0.28 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devante Smith-Pelly R | 9:15 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 17:27 | −0.25 | −0.11 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| T.J. Oshie R | 19:40 | −0.28 | +0.74 | −1.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 8:13 | −0.29 | −0.05 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 22:13 | −0.97 | +0.09 | −0.90 | +0.05 | −0.03 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Pheonix Copley G | 63:37 | +0.70 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Seguin C | 21:57 | 2 | +1.23 | −0.23 | +1.40 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Tyler Pitlick C | 13:37 | +0.10 | +0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 23:42 | +0.09 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Spezza C | 12:37 | +0.08 | −0.04 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 13:51 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.05 | |
| Radek Faksa C | 19:27 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Julius Honka D | 11:33 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Fedun D | 12:55 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 11:56 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devin Shore C | 11:24 | −0.18 | −0.07 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Blake Comeau L | 15:25 | −0.34 | +0.08 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 25:35 | −0.36 | −0.17 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Condra R | 11:39 | −0.39 | −0.06 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Janmark C | 17:45 | −0.43 | −0.40 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 24:34 | −0.46 | −0.29 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roman Polak D | 21:42 | −0.51 | −0.26 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Ritchie R | 10:27 | −0.51 | −0.15 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Radulov R | 22:45 | 2 | −0.72 | −0.36 | −0.39 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 63:37 | +3.39 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.