VGK beat LAK 2–0. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 4.9 to 1.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Brandon Pirri scored at 3:43 of the third, moving VGK’s win probability from 53% to 79%. Jack Campbell saved 3.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 3:43 | VGK | Brandon Pirri from Cody Eakin, Ryan Reaves | 0–1 | 53% → 79% |
| P3 19:27 | VGK | Alex TuchEN from Deryk Engelland, Brandon Pirri | 0–2 | 96% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Clifford L | 8:18 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Thompson C | 15:46 | −0.17 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Oscar Fantenberg D | 16:42 | −0.23 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 16:10 | −0.23 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Leipsic L | 14:05 | −0.23 | −0.42 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Luff R | 11:39 | −0.24 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Austin Wagner L | 7:46 | −0.25 | −0.08 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 17:17 | −0.25 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 16:33 | −0.27 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dion Phaneuf D | 15:47 | −0.27 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Muzzin D | 20:30 | −0.34 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 16:45 | −0.36 | −0.16 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 21:06 | −0.41 | −0.35 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 25:40 | −0.43 | −0.39 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dustin Brown R | 19:50 | −0.49 | −0.34 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 21:11 | −0.52 | −0.34 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Kovalchuk L | 14:50 | −0.57 | −0.36 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 14:30 | −0.65 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.07 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Campbell G | 59:35 | +3.91 |
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pirri C | 13:19 | 1 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.16 | +0.45 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Deryk Engelland D | 19:32 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.48 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L | 11:49 | +0.28 | +0.24 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.02 | ||
| Cody Eakin C | 15:50 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.31 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Shea Theodore D | 20:04 | +0.26 | +0.39 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Holden D | 18:11 | +0.14 | +0.32 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Tuch R | 17:53 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.24 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nate Schmidt D | 20:34 | +0.05 | +0.20 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Stastny C | 17:50 | +0.05 | +0.30 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jon Merrill D | 19:47 | +0.04 | +0.34 | −0.26 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 18:19 | +0.03 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 14:08 | −0.02 | +0.25 | −0.42 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Carpenter C | 15:11 | −0.04 | +0.19 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 10:18 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.20 | −0.26 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| William Carrier L | 8:27 | −0.10 | +0.10 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 17:19 | −0.13 | +0.28 | −0.42 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 18:21 | −0.16 | +0.27 | −0.42 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 19:08 | −0.37 | +0.31 | −0.67 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 60:00 | +1.46 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.