WPG beat VAN 1–0. WPG lost the expected-goals battle 1.7 to 3.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Mark Scheifele scored at 18:28 of the third, moving WPG’s win probability from 50% to 94%. Laurent Brossoit saved 3.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 18:28 |  WPG | Mark Scheifele from Dustin Byfuglien, Blake Wheeler | 1–0 | 50% → 94% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele C | 22:57 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.18 | +0.54 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.02 | |
| Nic Petan C | 6:39 | +0.11 | +0.05 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 14:13 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 15:29 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Lemieux L | 6:47 | −0.08 | +0.05 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Laine L | 18:55 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 21:09 | −0.13 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 11:23 | −0.19 | −0.04 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Josh Morrissey D | 21:07 | −0.23 | −0.20 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Tanev L | 12:05 | −0.23 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 8:32 | −0.28 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 20:38 | −0.31 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bryan Little C | 16:09 | −0.32 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Dustin Byfuglien D | 24:45 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.26 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Blake Wheeler R | 20:23 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 17:49 | −0.36 | −0.18 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Perreault C | 11:51 | −0.42 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 21:09 | −0.77 | −0.20 | −0.53 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit G | 60:00 | +3.36 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loui Eriksson L | 19:39 | +0.26 | +0.26 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derrick Pouliot D | 13:02 | +0.25 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 20:36 | +0.24 | +0.33 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Tanev D | 19:19 | +0.20 | +0.23 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 27:30 | +0.14 | +0.16 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 17:19 | +0.11 | +0.15 | −0.25 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Erik Gudbranson D | 20:21 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 18:35 | −0.04 | +0.17 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Biega D | 13:12 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Antoine Roussel L | 13:13 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Gaudette R | 6:02 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jake Virtanen R | 17:25 | −0.10 | +0.30 | −0.38 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Markus Granlund C | 12:48 | −0.12 | +0.17 | −0.28 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jay Beagle C | 15:58 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.15 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Tyler Motte C | 12:51 | −0.15 | +0.03 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolay Goldobin R | 12:09 | −0.16 | +0.25 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 20:20 | −0.54 | +0.18 | −0.70 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Josh Leivo L | 14:49 | −0.70 | +0.14 | −0.85 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 58:52 | +1.06 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.