ANA beat CBJ 2–1 in overtime. ANA lost the expected-goals battle 1.5 to 4.0 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Daniel Sprong scored at 1:19 of overtime, moving ANA’s win probability from 48% to 100%. John Gibson saved 2.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 12:06 | CBJ | Markus Nutivaara from Boone Jenner | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 15:56 | ANA | Daniel Sprong from Josh Manson | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| OT 1:19 | ANA | Daniel Sprong from Adam Henrique | 2–1 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Sprong R | 14:12 | 2 | +1.75 | +0.02 | +1.73 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 28:13 | +0.09 | +0.11 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Kesler C | 14:57 | −0.07 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Adam Henrique C | 19:25 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Andrew Cogliano C | 11:56 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Larsson D | 13:23 | −0.13 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 16:23 | −0.18 | −0.20 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Brandon Montour D | 27:56 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Street C | 6:30 | −0.23 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 6:22 | −0.24 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 21:41 | −0.25 | −0.22 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Carter Rowney C | 9:24 | −0.26 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Manson D | 23:14 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.31 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joshua Mahura D | 11:24 | −0.38 | −0.38 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ondrej Kase R | 18:03 | −0.54 | −0.20 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Pontus Aberg L | 20:25 | −0.56 | −0.17 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Ritchie L | 15:55 | −0.57 | −0.05 | −0.33 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Dotchin D | 16:34 | −0.58 | −0.41 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 61:19 | +2.70 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Nutivaara D | 10:59 | 1 | +1.29 | +0.22 | +0.91 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Murray D | 25:34 | +0.37 | +0.38 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 22:24 | +0.29 | +0.15 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.36 | −0.05 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 29:45 | +0.25 | +0.33 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Harrington D | 9:15 | +0.22 | +0.23 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 21:04 | +0.09 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 16:23 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.20 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Alexander Wennberg C | 12:53 | +0.06 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Markus Hannikainen L | 8:49 | +0.06 | +0.20 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 19:04 | +0.00 | +0.23 | −0.22 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| David Savard D | 19:05 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 9:48 | −0.10 | +0.08 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lukas Sedlak C | 7:10 | −0.12 | +0.08 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 24:49 | −0.17 | +0.22 | −0.49 | +0.12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Riley Nash C | 8:31 | −0.22 | +0.13 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 17:50 | −0.28 | +0.20 | −0.47 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Dubinsky C | 12:45 | −0.36 | +0.13 | −0.47 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 24:35 | −0.55 | +0.20 | −0.75 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky G | 60:33 | −0.48 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.