WPG beat CHI 4–3 in overtime. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mark Scheifele scored at 0:50 of overtime, moving WPG’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:18 | WPG | Mark ScheifelePP from Blake Wheeler, Dustin Byfuglien | 1–0 | 48% → 64% |
| P1 19:49 | CHI | Jonathan Toews from Duncan Keith, Brandon Saad | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 13:07 | CHI | Jonathan Toews from Brandon Saad, Carl Dahlstrom | 1–2 | 53% → 75% |
| P2 15:56 | WPG | Patrik Laine from Bryan Little, Josh Morrissey | 2–2 | 24% → 47% |
| P2 19:42 | WPG | Mathieu Perreault from Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler | 3–2 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 19:52 | CHI | Erik GustafssonPP from Duncan Keith, Jonathan Toews | 3–3 | 4% → 51% |
| OT 0:50 | WPG | Mark Scheifele from Josh Morrissey, Blake Wheeler | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele C | 21:20 | 2 | 1 | +2.13 | +0.44 | +1.46 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.04 |
| Patrik Laine L | 18:31 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.03 | +0.71 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mathieu Perreault C | 18:19 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.13 | +0.69 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 19:03 | +0.26 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 6:36 | +0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 20:25 | +0.13 | +0.13 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 7:44 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Josh Morrissey D | 20:09 | 2 | −0.05 | +0.41 | −0.46 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bryan Little C | 15:40 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 14:06 | −0.09 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 17:29 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 18:49 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Tanev L | 14:34 | −0.17 | +0.03 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 14:02 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 19:19 | −0.24 | +0.11 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dustin Byfuglien D | 25:34 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.15 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brendan Lemieux L | 7:20 | −0.37 | +0.03 | −0.39 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Wheeler R | 20:12 | 3 | −0.41 | +0.44 | −1.05 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit G | 60:19 | +0.07 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Toews C | 19:52 | 2 | 1 | +1.22 | −0.30 | +1.49 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 21:34 | 1 | +0.68 | −0.00 | +0.70 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Henri Jokiharju D | 18:02 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Martinsen L | 8:55 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 16:34 | −0.04 | +0.11 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Marcus Kruger C | 11:32 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Brent Seabrook D | 20:22 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 16:35 | −0.13 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 24:24 | 2 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Sikura R | 9:39 | −0.14 | +0.04 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 18:09 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.12 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Perlini L | 10:41 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Hayden C | 13:20 | −0.29 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Dahlstrom D | 17:47 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Saad L | 16:07 | 2 | −0.37 | −0.13 | −0.40 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Dominik Kahun C | 12:25 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.37 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 16:26 | −0.40 | −0.20 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 23:45 | −0.70 | −0.30 | −0.42 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Crawford G | 60:30 | −0.06 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.