NJD beat VGK 5–4 in overtime. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nico Hischier scored at 0:41 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:19 | VGK | Alex Tuch from Oscar Lindberg, Nate Schmidt | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 7:45 | VGK | William Karlsson from Jonathan Marchessault, Brayden McNabb | 2–0 | 63% → 76% |
| P1 9:23 | VGK | William Carrier from Ryan Reaves | 3–0 | 77% → 90% |
| P2 2:59 | NJD | Travis ZajacPP from Marcus Johansson, Jesper Bratt | 3–1 | 7% → 19% |
| P2 3:57 | VGK | William KarlssonPP from Reilly Smith, Jonathan Marchessault | 4–1 | 82% → 94% |
| P2 10:21 | NJD | Miles Wood from Blake Coleman, Travis Zajac | 4–2 | 5% → 16% |
| P3 6:24 | NJD | Kyle Palmieri unassisted | 4–3 | 7% → 23% |
| P3 14:55 | NJD | Brett Seney from Drew Stafford | 4–4 | 13% → 51% |
| OT 0:41 | NJD | Nico Hischier from Marcus Johansson | 4–5 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Karlsson C | 19:09 | 2 | +1.44 | −0.26 | +1.58 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.06 | |
| William Carrier L | 6:56 | 1 | +0.84 | −0.04 | +0.89 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Tuch R | 15:56 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.02 | +0.65 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Shea Theodore D | 19:08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L | 12:44 | −0.04 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 20:52 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Holden D | 17:38 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Deryk Engelland D | 18:10 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Eakin C | 12:36 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 10:07 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Oscar Lindberg L | 14:07 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colin Miller D | 17:20 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Carpenter C | 13:38 | −0.30 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 15:01 | −0.33 | −0.04 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Stastny C | 16:53 | −0.35 | −0.14 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 21:47 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.34 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Nate Schmidt D | 24:16 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.38 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 17:14 | 2 | −0.53 | −0.14 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 60:41 | −0.93 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Zajac C | 18:59 | 1 | 1 | +0.96 | +0.29 | +0.63 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 |
| Nico Hischier C | 19:47 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.01 | +0.56 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Miles Wood L | 13:27 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.58 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Seney L | 9:59 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.03 | +0.63 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| John Quenneville C | 11:55 | +0.40 | +0.28 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 16:36 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.20 | +0.36 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Sami Vatanen D | 21:46 | +0.31 | +0.19 | −0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 17:53 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.11 | −0.23 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Brian Boyle C | 14:56 | +0.03 | +0.20 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 23:08 | −0.01 | +0.12 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mirco Mueller D | 16:25 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Lovejoy D | 14:59 | −0.03 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andy Greene D | 21:16 | −0.03 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Butcher D | 20:02 | −0.04 | +0.20 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Stafford R | 9:53 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Marcus Johansson L | 20:06 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.07 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Zacha C | 13:46 | −0.18 | +0.11 | −0.29 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 12:42 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.07 | −0.29 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Keith Kinkaid G | 51:00 | +0.90 |
| Cory Schneider G | 9:36 | −2.36 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.