CBJ beat PHI 4–3 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (CBJ 2.4, PHI 2.2), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Seth Jones scored at 0:10 of overtime, moving CBJ’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Anthony Stolarz allowed 1.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:58 | PHI | Claude Giroux from Travis Konecny, Sean Couturier | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 7:06 |  CBJ | Seth Jones from Oliver Bjorkstrand, Brandon Dubinsky | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P1 18:08 | CBJ | Brandon Dubinsky from Scott Harrington, Artemi Panarin | 2–1 | 47% → 65% |
| P3 5:15 | CBJ | Boone Jenner from Artemi Panarin | 3–1 | 76% → 93% |
| P3 12:24 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Claude Giroux, Travis Konecny | 3–2 | 3% → 17% |
| P3 14:29 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Jakub Voracek, Shayne Gostisbehere | 3–3 | 14% → 51% |
| OT 0:10 | CBJ | Seth Jones from Cam Atkinson | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Jones D | 27:23 | 2 | +1.14 | −0.14 | +1.48 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Dubinsky C | 14:30 | 1 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.73 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.06 |
| Boone Jenner C | 19:10 | 1 | +0.56 | −0.06 | +0.59 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Lukas Sedlak C | 8:05 | +0.19 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| David Savard D | 18:45 | +0.15 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Harrington D | 11:44 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.13 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 11:18 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Markus Hannikainen L | 8:54 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Markus Nutivaara D | 14:50 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Riley Nash C | 9:06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 15:16 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 16:33 | −0.08 | +0.05 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 21:41 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Murray D | 21:29 | −0.16 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 19:51 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artemi Panarin L | 17:39 | 2 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.31 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 16:46 | −0.28 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 21:30 | −0.35 | −0.06 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky G | 60:10 | −0.87 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Sanheim D | 12:38 | 2 | +1.55 | −0.06 | +1.62 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 22:54 | 1 | 1 | +1.19 | +0.25 | +0.73 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 |
| Jakub Voracek R | 20:31 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.14 | −0.03 | +0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew MacDonald D | 20:54 | +0.13 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 20:37 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.12 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 23:31 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.11 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Dale Weise R | 9:59 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:12 | −0.05 | +0.10 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 12:39 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 4:38 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Hagg D | 19:41 | −0.15 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 13:12 | −0.18 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 16:00 | 2 | −0.22 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jori Lehtera C | 4:56 | −0.22 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 13:22 | −0.33 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.36 | +0.00 | ||
| Nolan Patrick C | 17:39 | −0.35 | −0.17 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 15:59 | −0.35 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.36 | +0.00 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 16:35 | −0.42 | −0.02 | −0.55 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz G | 59:43 | −1.09 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.