NSH beat LAK 5–3. NSH also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Calle Jarnkrok scored short-handed at 11:54 of the third, moving NSH’s win probability from 50% to 84%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 3:18 | NSH | Kyle TurrisPP from Ryan Ellis, Roman Josi | 0–1 | 54% → 72% |
| P2 5:55 | LAK | Nate Thompson from Tyler Toffoli, Adrian Kempe | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 6:14 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Dustin Brown | 2–1 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 8:05 | NSH | Calle Jarnkrok from Ryan Ellis | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 10:15 | LAK | Alex Iafallo from Anze Kopitar, Jake Muzzin | 3–2 | 47% → 68% |
| P3 5:44 | NSH | Calle JarnkrokPP from Roman Josi, Colton Sissons | 3–3 | 25% → 52% |
| P3 11:54 | NSH | Calle JarnkrokSH unassisted | 3–4 | 50% → 84% |
| P3 19:03 | NSH | Nick BoninoEN from Austin Watson, Colton Sissons | 3–5 | 96% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Thompson C | 13:07 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.09 | +0.72 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 17:05 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.30 | +0.72 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 22:09 | 1 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.33 | +0.46 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Alec Martinez D | 18:15 | +0.06 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 5:22 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kyle Clifford L | 5:25 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 20:39 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Oscar Fantenberg D | 13:31 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dion Phaneuf D | 15:33 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Muzzin D | 18:30 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.09 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Hagelin L | 15:44 | −0.24 | −0.15 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Luff R | 8:49 | −0.25 | −0.08 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 15:07 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Tyler Toffoli C | 17:34 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.15 | −0.63 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Dustin Brown R | 22:10 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.33 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ilya Kovalchuk L | 16:25 | −0.51 | −0.27 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 19:08 | −0.65 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.36 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 28:43 | −0.69 | −0.50 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Petersen G | 58:26 | −0.38 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 14:32 | 3 | +2.51 | −0.06 | +2.40 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Turris C | 13:52 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.07 | +0.82 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Roman Josi D | 25:23 | 2 | +0.24 | +0.32 | −0.11 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Craig Smith C | 18:47 | +0.11 | +0.14 | −0.24 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 6:21 | +0.09 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Dan Hamhuis D | 20:30 | +0.08 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Bitetto D | 10:33 | +0.06 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Ellis D | 25:38 | 2 | +0.03 | +0.29 | −0.30 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Hartman R | 10:03 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bonino C | 18:48 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.03 | |
| Miikka Salomaki R | 7:44 | −0.06 | +0.07 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Austin Watson L | 17:39 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.29 | −0.33 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mattias Ekholm D | 23:11 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 20:19 | 2 | −0.13 | +0.43 | −0.61 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 6:41 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yannick Weber D | 12:59 | −0.36 | +0.22 | −0.42 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Johansen C | 20:05 | −0.46 | +0.01 | −0.44 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 18:57 | −0.54 | +0.02 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Pekka Rinne G | 59:58 | −0.57 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.