MTL beat NYI 4–3 in a shootout. MTL also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Noah Juulsen scored at 7:43 of the third, moving MTL’s win probability from 19% to 48%. Antti Niemi saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MTL–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:04 | NYI | Casey Cizikas from Adam Pelech, Ross Johnston | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 5:59 | MTL | Jonathan Drouin from Max Domi, Noah Juulsen | 1–1 | 31% → 47% |
| P1 7:44 | NYI | Valtteri Filppula from Leo Komarov, Thomas Hickey | 1–2 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 14:58 | NYI | Casey Cizikas from Cal Clutterbuck | 1–3 | 71% → 84% |
| P2 15:36 | MTL | Max DomiPP from Jonathan Drouin, Joel Armia | 2–3 | 10% → 25% |
| P3 7:43 | MTL | Noah Juulsen from Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 3–3 | 19% → 48% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Armia R | 16:05 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.25 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.06 | |
| Noah Juulsen D | 19:03 | 1 | 1 | +0.78 | −0.11 | +0.89 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Max Domi C | 19:55 | 1 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.16 | +0.79 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.44 |
| Victor Mete D | 13:48 | +0.23 | +0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Xavier Ouellet D | 20:50 | +0.14 | +0.17 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Drouin L | 20:16 | 1 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.17 | +0.28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.35 |
| Phillip Danault C | 20:43 | +0.05 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.04 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordie Benn D | 22:58 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mike Reilly D | 19:16 | −0.06 | +0.05 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Matthew Peca C | 10:18 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Shaw R | 11:10 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 8:41 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Gallagher R | 16:35 | −0.26 | +0.21 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Petry D | 28:41 | −0.38 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Charles Hudon L | 13:54 | −0.40 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 19:26 | −0.42 | −0.21 | −0.24 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Tatar L | 13:54 | −0.61 | +0.07 | −0.56 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.30 | ||
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | 13:07 | 1 | −0.92 | −0.20 | −0.40 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.04 | −0.44 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Antti Niemi G | 64:51 | +1.53 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Cizikas C | 10:47 | 2 | +1.59 | −0.10 | +1.63 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | +0.00 | |
| Valtteri Filppula C | 13:43 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.12 | +0.73 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.44 | |
| Leo Komarov R | 15:36 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnny Boychuk D | 14:55 | +0.07 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 13:13 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.13 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Nick Leddy D | 23:17 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Andrew Ladd L | 13:30 | −0.04 | +0.16 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Hickey D | 21:18 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Ross Johnston L | 6:55 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 14:15 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Anders Lee C | 20:25 | −0.14 | +0.33 | −0.29 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Pulock D | 29:00 | −0.18 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 22:04 | −0.22 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 19:03 | −0.41 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.35 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 16:22 | −0.45 | −0.18 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 20:09 | −0.66 | +0.05 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.44 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 17:26 | −0.66 | −0.13 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.30 | ||
| Mathew Barzal C | 20:14 | −0.81 | +0.08 | −0.42 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.44 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Greiss G | 65:00 | +0.78 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.