ANA beat CBJ 3–2 in overtime. ANA lost the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 3.6 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Cam Fowler scored at 0:36 of overtime, moving ANA’s win probability from 52% to 100%. John Gibson saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 3:33 |  CBJ | Pierre-Luc Dubois from Boone Jenner, Seth Jones | 1–0 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 9:09 | ANA | Cam Fowler from Rickard Rakell, Brandon Montour | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 18:26 | ANA | Cam Fowler from Isac Lundeström, Kiefer Sherwood | 1–2 | 53% → 76% |
| P3 19:28 | CBJ | Pierre-Luc DuboisPP from Brandon Dubinsky, Seth Jones | 2–2 | 4% → 49% |
| OT 0:36 | ANA | Cam Fowler from Adam Henrique, Jakob Silfverberg | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 22:36 | 2 | +1.35 | +0.34 | +1.40 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.36 | −0.01 | |
| Zach Werenski D | 25:37 | +0.23 | +0.13 | −0.26 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.36 | +0.00 | ||
| David Savard D | 15:24 | +0.17 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 17:04 | +0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 22:44 | +0.06 | +0.21 | −0.23 | +0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Murray D | 17:29 | +0.04 | +0.14 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Dubinsky C | 14:45 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.31 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Seth Jones D | 30:14 | 2 | −0.02 | +0.38 | −0.36 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Boone Jenner C | 16:52 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.03 | |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 5:33 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Duclair L | 9:22 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Markus Hannikainen L | 8:26 | −0.11 | +0.18 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Harrington D | 9:22 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Riley Nash C | 9:53 | −0.16 | +0.16 | −0.31 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 14:54 | −0.19 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.18 | −0.04 | ||
| Markus Nutivaara D | 12:51 | −0.29 | −0.14 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 22:42 | −0.37 | +0.14 | −0.51 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 16:39 | −0.39 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 59:57 | −0.04 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Fowler D | 24:47 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.19 | +2.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Henrique C | 21:24 | 1 | +0.48 | +0.22 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.36 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Montour D | 23:26 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.19 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Cogliano C | 15:43 | +0.03 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 12:25 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pontus Aberg L | 15:19 | −0.02 | +0.13 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Gibbons C | 8:26 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 11:13 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Andy Welinski D | 13:15 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Eaves R | 11:42 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Larsson D | 16:00 | −0.18 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Street C | 9:11 | −0.20 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 16:36 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.24 | −0.48 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Sam Carrick C | 6:54 | −0.25 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 10:30 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.06 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 30:08 | −0.56 | −0.29 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Kesler C | 20:29 | −0.58 | −0.43 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.06 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 22:27 | 1 | −0.96 | −0.33 | −0.43 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 60:33 | +1.45 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.