SJS beat PHI 4–3 in overtime. SJS also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Timo Meier scored at 0:13 of overtime, moving SJS’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:37 | PHI | Nolan Patrick from Travis Konecny, Oskar Lindblom | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 3:15 | SJS | Timo Meier from Tomas Hertl, Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1–1 | 38% → 53% |
| P1 16:40 | PHI | Jordan Weal from Wayne Simmonds, Dale Weise | 2–1 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 10:35 | SJS | Joe PavelskiPP from Kevin Labanc, Brent Burns | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 19:30 | PHI | Jakub Voracek from Oskar Lindblom, Ivan Provorov | 3–2 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 15:03 | SJS | Joe Thornton from Kevin Labanc, Brenden Dillon | 3–3 | 13% → 51% |
| OT 0:13 | SJS | Timo Meier from Logan Couture | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Weal C | 15:58 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.16 | +0.55 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Nolan Patrick C | 17:30 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.05 | +0.62 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jakub Voracek R | 18:11 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.07 | +0.50 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Robert Hagg D | 21:26 | +0.11 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 16:47 | 2 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dale Weise R | 12:53 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 15:38 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 10:23 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jori Lehtera C | 3:31 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 5:44 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Folin D | 20:01 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 26:48 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 20:52 | −0.21 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 22:12 | −0.21 | −0.15 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 11:34 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 22:21 | −0.32 | −0.18 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 17:19 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.15 | −0.60 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 16:54 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.19 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard G | 60:13 | −0.56 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Meier R | 18:48 | 2 | +1.36 | +0.11 | +1.24 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Joe Thornton C | 15:12 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.04 | +0.92 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 20:03 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.01 | +0.41 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Marcus Sorensen L | 11:33 | +0.33 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.36 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 12:25 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 20:33 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Braun D | 22:08 | +0.08 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 17:34 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Logan Couture C | 20:23 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.25 | −0.31 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Barclay Goodrow C | 9:59 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Melker Karlsson C | 11:07 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joakim Ryan D | 7:13 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 15:14 | 2 | −0.19 | +0.08 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rourke Chartier C | 7:51 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brent Burns D | 23:29 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joonas Donskoi R | 15:06 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 26:08 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 19:53 | −0.50 | −0.03 | −0.44 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 60:13 | −0.53 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.