VAN beat CHI 4–2. Expected goals were close to even (CHI 2.8, VAN 2.6), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Brendan Gaunce scored at 9:23 of the third, moving VAN’s win probability from 52% to 82%. Corey Crawford allowed 1.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:56 | CHI | Brandon Saad from Chris Kunitz, Artem Anisimov | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 15:33 | VAN | Jake Virtanen unassisted | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 1:05 | CHI | Jonathan ToewsPP from Erik Gustafsson, Luke Johnson | 2–1 | 48% → 66% |
| P2 12:24 | VAN | Jake Virtanen from Markus Granlund, Erik Gudbranson | 2–2 | 31% → 53% |
| P3 9:23 | VAN | Brendan Gaunce unassisted | 2–3 | 52% → 82% |
| P3 16:33 | VAN | Antoine Roussel from Brendan Gaunce, Alex Biega | 2–4 | 91% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Toews C | 20:39 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.05 | +0.33 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Brandon Saad L | 18:59 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.25 | +0.20 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Chris Kunitz L | 14:09 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.16 | −0.16 | +0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artem Anisimov C | 18:08 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.16 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| John Hayden C | 9:13 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Fortin L | 11:23 | +0.02 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Johnson C | 12:56 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Davidson D | 15:04 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 21:44 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.12 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Manning D | 14:34 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henri Jokiharju D | 22:51 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 18:56 | −0.06 | +0.05 | −0.15 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Dominik Kahun C | 17:18 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 24:16 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 10:10 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Schmaltz C | 14:09 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Kruger C | 12:18 | −0.23 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Brent Seabrook D | 19:37 | −0.62 | −0.09 | −0.13 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.36 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Crawford G | 57:36 | −1.12 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Virtanen R | 13:56 | 2 | +0.81 | +0.15 | +0.75 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brendan Gaunce C | 9:34 | 1 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.07 | +0.41 | +0.28 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Antoine Roussel L | 9:41 | 1 | +0.64 | +0.07 | +0.41 | +0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Derrick Pouliot D | 20:47 | +0.20 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Markus Granlund C | 15:08 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.08 | −0.03 | +0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Troy Stecher D | 16:07 | +0.14 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Biega D | 16:59 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.10 | −0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bo Horvat C | 20:05 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolay Goldobin R | 18:53 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.05 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gudbranson D | 18:46 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Del Zotto D | 19:15 | −0.06 | +0.07 | −0.03 | +0.08 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Gaudette R | 13:48 | −0.07 | +0.07 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Tyler Motte C | 11:55 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.06 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Tim Schaller L | 13:42 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 13:10 | −0.18 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 21:45 | −0.19 | +0.09 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 22:29 | −0.21 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 20:20 | −0.31 | −0.02 | −0.17 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 60:00 | +0.39 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.