MIN beat CHI 4–3 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 5.4 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Ryan Suter scored at 19:37 of the third, moving MIN’s win probability from 4% to 53%. Cam Ward saved 1.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:07 | CHI | Alex DeBrincat from Jonathan Toews, Jan Rutta | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 12:50 | CHI | Dominik Kahun from Jonathan Toews, Alex DeBrincat | 2–0 | 64% → 78% |
| P2 13:19 | MIN | Eric Staal from Jason Zucker, Ryan Suter | 2–1 | 14% → 30% |
| P2 19:57 | MIN | Jason Zucker from Eric Staal, Jordan Greenway | 2–2 | 27% → 52% |
| P3 2:29 | CHI | Alex DeBrincatPP from Patrick Kane | 3–2 | 49% → 74% |
| P3 19:37 | MIN | Ryan Suter from Zach Parise, Eric Staal | 3–3 | 4% → 53% |
| OT 3:25 | MIN | Jason Zucker from Zach Parise, Ryan Suter | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat R | 19:03 | 2 | 1 | +1.14 | −0.47 | +1.58 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Dominik Kahun C | 13:54 | 1 | +0.30 | −0.23 | +0.54 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Marcus Kruger C | 14:26 | +0.15 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| David Kampf C | 15:07 | +0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Chris Kunitz L | 9:06 | +0.05 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| John Hayden C | 10:55 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Manning D | 16:11 | −0.10 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jan Rutta D | 17:36 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexandre Fortin L | 8:49 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artem Anisimov C | 13:41 | −0.30 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Brent Seabrook D | 18:44 | −0.31 | −0.23 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 19:06 | 2 | −0.32 | −0.29 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Henri Jokiharju D | 22:44 | −0.47 | −0.42 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 25:52 | −0.49 | −0.49 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 20:12 | −0.50 | −0.29 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 19:20 | −0.51 | −0.31 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Nick Schmaltz C | 18:43 | −0.75 | −0.44 | −0.15 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 23:31 | 1 | −0.84 | −0.35 | −0.52 | +0.08 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward G | 63:25 | +1.23 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Suter D | 26:37 | 1 | 2 | +1.33 | +0.79 | +0.52 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jason Zucker L | 19:34 | 2 | 1 | +1.24 | +0.45 | +0.59 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Eric Staal C | 19:44 | 1 | 2 | +0.92 | +0.18 | +0.69 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 |
| Mathew Dumba D | 25:50 | +0.81 | +0.81 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Parise L | 19:05 | 2 | +0.08 | +0.50 | −0.41 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jonas Brodin D | 22:29 | +0.08 | +0.08 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 15:40 | +0.08 | +0.54 | −0.44 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jordan Greenway L | 14:35 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.14 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Marcus Foligno L | 9:26 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 11:28 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 19:06 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 24:21 | −0.08 | +0.22 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Greg Pateryn D | 13:54 | −0.10 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 12:06 | −0.16 | +0.30 | −0.46 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Fehr C | 10:37 | −0.17 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| JT Brown R | 6:44 | −0.37 | +0.04 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 12:29 | −0.45 | +0.23 | −0.74 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Mikko Koivu C | 19:36 | −0.57 | +0.13 | −0.53 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.18 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Devan Dubnyk G | 62:54 | −0.67 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.