PHI beat OTT 7–4. Expected goals were close to even (PHI 3.9, OTT 4.0), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Scott Laughton scored at 15:45 of the second, moving PHI’s win probability from 47% to 71%. Craig Anderson allowed 1.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–OTT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:39 | OTT | Brady TkachukPP from Chris Tierney, Maxime Lajoie | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P1 14:44 | PHI | Jakub VoracekPP from Shayne Gostisbehere, Claude Giroux | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 1:20 | OTT | Brady Tkachuk from Mikkel Boedker, Thomas Chabot | 1–2 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 3:04 | PHI | Sean Couturier from Radko Gudas, Jakub Voracek | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 6:35 | PHI | Jakub Voracek from Radko Gudas | 3–2 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 11:13 | OTT | Maxime LajoiePP from Chris Tierney, Brady Tkachuk | 3–3 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 15:45 | PHI | Scott Laughton from Dale Weise, Andrew MacDonald | 4–3 | 47% → 71% |
| P3 4:08 | PHI | Robert Hagg from Michael Raffl, Dale Weise | 5–3 | 75% → 92% |
| P3 12:37 | PHI | Claude GirouxPP from Shayne Gostisbehere, Jakub Voracek | 6–3 | 97% → 100% |
| P3 17:08 | OTT | Maxime LajoiePP from Chris Tierney, Mikkel Boedker | 6–4 | 0% → 1% |
| P3 19:25 | PHI | Scott LaughtonEN from Jakub Voracek, Radko Gudas | 7–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Voracek R | 19:28 | 2 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.08 | +1.21 | +0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Sean Couturier C | 24:11 | 1 | +1.03 | +0.02 | +0.63 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.36 | +0.01 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 15:39 | 2 | +0.91 | −0.04 | +0.76 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.02 | |
| Robert Hagg D | 18:37 | 1 | +0.70 | −0.03 | +0.73 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 20:03 | 1 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.29 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 |
| Nolan Patrick C | 3:30 | +0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 14:09 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikhail Vorobyev C | 12:07 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 17:17 | 3 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 11:17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jori Lehtera C | 14:20 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Andrew MacDonald D | 20:04 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Raffl L | 13:34 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.02 | |
| Dale Weise R | 11:21 | 2 | −0.36 | −0.06 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Oskar Lindblom L | 13:22 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 19:34 | 2 | −0.37 | +0.02 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 23:32 | −0.41 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 17:36 | −0.55 | +0.17 | −0.60 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard G | 59:33 | +0.32 |
OTT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Lajoie D | 23:19 | 2 | 1 | +1.57 | +0.13 | +1.46 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Brady Tkachuk L | 13:45 | 2 | 1 | +1.34 | +0.29 | +1.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Cody Ceci D | 19:33 | +0.37 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Formenton L | 8:24 | +0.15 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.36 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Borowiecki D | 16:12 | +0.12 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Wideman D | 17:56 | +0.11 | +0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 19:49 | +0.04 | +0.13 | −0.34 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.04 | ||
| Magnus Paajarvi L | 9:22 | −0.14 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin White C | 9:42 | −0.18 | −0.08 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Thomas Chabot D | 22:45 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.14 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zack Smith C | 14:17 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Mark Stone R | 22:03 | −0.25 | +0.03 | −0.15 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 15:02 | −0.27 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Dzingel C | 18:33 | −0.29 | +0.04 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Pyatt L | 10:39 | −0.30 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Chris Tierney C | 16:26 | 3 | −0.33 | −0.03 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Bobby Ryan R | 15:41 | −0.36 | +0.03 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikkel Boedker L | 16:42 | 2 | −0.72 | +0.11 | −0.69 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Craig Anderson G | 58:36 | −1.67 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.