CHI beat STL 5–4 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (CHI 2.5, STL 2.6), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Jonathan Toews scored at 2:20 of overtime, moving CHI’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jake Allen allowed 2.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:42 | STL | Colton ParaykoPP from Patrick Maroon, Ryan O'Reilly | 0–1 | 54% → 71% |
| P1 17:22 | STL | Vladimir Tarasenko from Ryan O'Reilly | 0–2 | 71% → 85% |
| P1 18:30 | CHI | Jonathan Toews from Erik Gustafsson, Alex DeBrincat | 1–2 | 15% → 29% |
| P2 1:33 | CHI | Patrick Kane from Nick Schmaltz | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 10:25 | CHI | Marcus Kruger from Patrick Kane, Nick Schmaltz | 3–2 | 47% → 68% |
| P3 3:58 | STL | Vladimir TarasenkoPP from Patrick Maroon, Ryan O'Reilly | 3–3 | 26% → 52% |
| P3 4:20 | STL | Chris Butler from Ivan Barbashev, Jaden Schwartz | 3–4 | 52% → 79% |
| P3 6:59 | CHI | Jonathan Toews from Henri Jokiharju, Alex DeBrincat | 4–4 | 19% → 48% |
| OT 2:20 | CHI | Jonathan Toews from Brandon Saad, Henri Jokiharju | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Toews C | 21:12 | 3 | +2.10 | −0.02 | +2.29 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Kruger C | 10:14 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.06 | +0.59 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.03 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 21:40 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Kane R | 21:28 | 1 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.08 | +0.22 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Henri Jokiharju D | 19:30 | 2 | +0.13 | +0.27 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jan Rutta D | 21:06 | +0.12 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Schmaltz C | 18:45 | 2 | +0.09 | +0.06 | −0.15 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.06 | |
| Artem Anisimov C | 15:27 | +0.06 | +0.03 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.02 | ||
| Dominik Kahun C | 11:21 | +0.06 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 14:04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Johnson C | 9:10 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Chris Kunitz L | 11:24 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 25:08 | −0.10 | +0.15 | −0.27 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 20:21 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.05 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 17:13 | 2 | −0.15 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Manning D | 13:03 | −0.15 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Martinsen L | 7:06 | −0.23 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Brent Seabrook D | 18:45 | −0.40 | −0.24 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward G | 62:09 | −1.44 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Butler D | 17:15 | 1 | +1.22 | +0.02 | +0.84 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.36 | +0.00 | |
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 21:14 | 2 | +1.12 | −0.03 | +1.13 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Parayko D | 22:01 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.05 | +0.74 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Steen L | 17:36 | +0.08 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Kyrou R | 9:11 | +0.07 | +0.05 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Maroon L | 15:50 | 2 | +0.06 | +0.24 | −0.33 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Bortuzzo D | 14:55 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sammy Blais L | 11:11 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bozak C | 17:58 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jay Bouwmeester D | 18:26 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Thomas C | 6:07 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 10:41 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brayden Schenn C | 19:41 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 19:49 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.09 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 20:39 | −0.25 | −0.09 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Perron L | 11:24 | −0.28 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 22:27 | 3 | −0.29 | +0.19 | −0.31 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.36 | +0.17 | |
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 22:45 | −0.42 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 62:10 | −2.21 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.