STL beat BOS 2–1 in overtime. STL also won the expected-goals battle 2.0 to 1.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz scored at 0:30 of overtime, moving STL’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:12 | BOS | Ryan DonatoPP unassisted | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P3 9:36 |  STL | Jaden Schwartz from Alexander Steen, Brayden Schenn | 1–1 | 20% → 52% |
| OT 0:30 | STL | Jaden Schwartz from Colton Parayko, Brayden Schenn | 1–2 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Donato C | 16:17 | 1 | +0.81 | −0.00 | +0.83 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| David Krejci C | 15:54 | +0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam McQuaid D | 15:48 | +0.11 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevan Miller D | 24:17 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 23:50 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 20:04 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.12 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tommy Wingels C | 10:52 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Brian Gionta R | 11:54 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Postma D | 10:12 | −0.12 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 9:58 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nick Holden D | 24:56 | −0.18 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 12:27 | −0.19 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:49 | −0.21 | −0.07 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tim Schaller L | 12:10 | −0.22 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 19:41 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jordan Szwarz C | 11:09 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.04 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 15:17 | −0.35 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Riley Nash C | 20:55 | −0.35 | −0.03 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 60:30 | −0.43 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Schwartz C | 20:02 | 2 | +1.87 | +0.07 | +1.59 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.02 | |
| Dmitrij Jaskin R | 13:43 | +0.14 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 20:03 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 21:31 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Thorburn R | 7:12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Steen L | 20:21 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 19:54 | −0.02 | +0.05 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 6:42 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Vladimir Sobotka C | 17:47 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Tage Thompson C | 11:18 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 13:54 | −0.05 | +0.16 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Carl Gunnarsson D | 18:23 | −0.05 | +0.11 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Soshnikov R | 10:15 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Berglund C | 16:34 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 25:21 | −0.08 | +0.08 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Brodziak C | 17:39 | −0.13 | +0.10 | −0.26 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Robert Bortuzzo D | 15:18 | −0.14 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 21:01 | 2 | −0.24 | +0.07 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 60:30 | +0.56 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.