STL beat CHI 5–4 in overtime. STL also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Patrik Berglund scored at 3:31 of overtime, moving STL’s win probability from 48% to 100%. J-F Berube allowed 2.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | STL–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 13:07 | CHI | Alex DeBrincatPP from Nick Schmaltz, Duncan Keith | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P1 19:08 | CHI | Alex DeBrincat from Tomas Jurco, Jordan Oesterle | 0–2 | 71% → 85% |
| P2 2:02 | STL | Alexander SteenPP from Vince Dunn, Alex Pietrangelo | 1–2 | 14% → 28% |
| P2 5:14 | STL | Vince DunnPP from Alex Pietrangelo, Brayden Schenn | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 19:58 | CHI | David Kampf from Vinnie Hinostroza, Duncan Keith | 2–3 | 52% → 77% |
| P3 15:24 | STL | Vladimir Sobotka from Kyle Brodziak, Vince Dunn | 3–3 | 11% → 49% |
| P3 16:47 | CHI | Alex DeBrincat from Artem Anisimov, Tomas Jurco | 3–4 | 51% → 91% |
| P3 18:38 | STL | Alex PietrangeloPP from Jaden Schwartz, Vince Dunn | 4–4 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 3:31 | STL | Patrik Berglund from Alexander Steen, Alex Pietrangelo | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Dunn D | 21:07 | 1 | 3 | +0.98 | +0.24 | +0.73 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Vladimir Sobotka C | 19:46 | 1 | +0.98 | +0.13 | +0.69 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Steen L | 21:31 | 1 | 1 | +0.94 | +0.37 | +0.54 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 28:33 | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +0.39 | +0.45 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Patrik Berglund C | 19:58 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.19 | +0.46 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.02 | |
| Kyle Brodziak C | 18:51 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.20 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | |
| Carl Gunnarsson D | 18:17 | +0.14 | +0.12 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 22:03 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.28 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Nikita Soshnikov R | 12:57 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Thorburn R | 6:48 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 23:19 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 13:44 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 6:22 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 19:59 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tage Thompson C | 7:58 | −0.21 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 22:20 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.19 | −0.62 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Dmitrij Jaskin R | 13:57 | −0.29 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Bortuzzo D | 12:10 | −0.35 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 62:50 | −1.67 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat R | 14:46 | 3 | +2.50 | −0.01 | +2.49 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Kampf C | 14:00 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.06 | +0.57 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 17:58 | +0.18 | +0.17 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jan Rutta D | 20:28 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Highmore C | 5:44 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 20:36 | −0.10 | −0.14 | −0.06 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Patrick Sharp L | 10:52 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Schmaltz C | 16:13 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| John Hayden C | 12:10 | −0.15 | +0.09 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artem Anisimov C | 18:29 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Tomas Jurco R | 13:58 | 2 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Oesterle D | 18:07 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.07 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 20:26 | −0.21 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 14:54 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.09 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brent Seabrook D | 23:36 | −0.24 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 20:24 | −0.32 | −0.08 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 22:35 | 2 | −0.42 | −0.19 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Kane R | 21:39 | −0.46 | −0.14 | −0.34 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| J-F Berube G | 63:31 | −2.00 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.